Roman Warm Period : Timeline and Decline

The Roman Warm Period covered the interval from about 250 BC to about 400 AD.  It had helped to bring the Roman Empire to its apex, when the City of Rome had about one million residents.  The might, size and wealth of the Roman Empire declined when the Roman Warm Period came to an end.  The decline of the Roman Empire can be discerned in the trend of the size of the population of the City of Rome over time.
(The decline or shrinking of the population of the City of Rome happened within the context of decline and fall of the Roman Empire.  More on that context is addressed in What caused the decline and fall of the Roman Empire? , but weather events like those shown farther down in this blog posting played key roles.)

Roman Warm Period, Roman Empire and the population size of the City of Rome

Decline of Roman Empire reflected in the Population Trend of the City of Rome

There should be little doubt that the fate of the Roman Empire was strongly tied to the  Roman Warm Period that had helped to bring it to its apex and to the downturn in temperature trends that brought an end to the Roman Warm Period and continued long after.

Holocene Epoch: Subatlantic Chronozone

Holocene Epoch: Subatlantic Chronozone

The decline and fall of the Roman Empire initiated the European Dark Age (the Early Middle Ages, from about the 5th to the 10th century).  What the Barbarian Invasions –  motivated by Northern European tribes seeking warmer climes – began, the Islamic Conquest of the Middle East, Asia Minor, the Balkans and North Africa, finished with a vengeance. Beginning in 633 AD, a year after the death of Mohammed, the Islamic Conquest had expanded by 710 AD to include all of the regions of North Africa that bordered on the Mediterranean.  The Islamic Conquest was not finished.  In 711 AD it continued with the invasion and occupation of Spain.  That occupation came to an end in 1491 AD.  (More at The Islamic Invasion and Conquest of the Roman Empire — Crime of Opportunity)

Roman Warm Period and its Aftermath: Notable Weather Events

The weather events quoted here took place during and after the Roman Warm Period, until the time of the start of the Islamic Conquest of the World.  For records of subsequent weather events, refer to the Chronology that is the source of the quotes shown in the following.  The following quotes are only for instances of weather events whose descriptions contained the character strings: Rome, Danube, and Rhine, for the interval from 1 AD to 633 AD, the beginning of the Islamic Conquest of the World.

6 A.D. A famine struck Rome, Italy. 57, 72, 91
In the 43rd year of Augustus Caesar, a terrible famine struck Rome, Italy. Augustus sent away not only strangers but also most of his servants out of the city. [Because he could no longer feed them.] 72

15 A.D. In Rome, Italy, the Tiber River overflowed and did such serious damage that it was proposed in the Roman Senate to diminish its waters by diverting some of the chief tributaries.47, 92 Also refer to the section 14 A.D. – 15 A.D. for information on the famine in Ireland during that time frame.

52 A.D. A great famine struck Rome, Italy. 72

70 A.D. Tacitus reports that an unprecedented drought took place in the year 70. There was no water in the north of Gaul [western Europe] and the Rhine River in western Germany was barely seaworthy [because of the low water level].79

79 A.D. – 88 A.D. Italy. Famine There was a terrible period of suffering from 79 to 88 A.D. when the Roman world seemed to be shaken to its physical foundations. A devastating drought and famine swept over the Italian peninsula. It is said that 10,000 citizens died in a single day at Rome during its height. Tacitus left a grim picture of the distress and suffering. Houses were filled with dead bodies and the streets with funerals.84

154 A.D. In Rome, Italy in 154, during the 16th year of the reign of the emperor Antoninus, the city suffered from the following calamities. First the Tiber River overflowed its banks. Then a fire destroyed a greater part of the city. Then a famine swept away a great number of its citizens.92

175 A.D. A famine struck Rome, Italy. 57, 72, 91

189 A.D. A famine struck Rome, Italy. 72

191 A.D. A famine struck Rome, Italy. 72

192 A.D. A famine struck Ireland. Bad harvest caused general scarcity, mortality and immigration – “so the lands and houses, territories and tribes, were emptied.” 57, 91 A famine afflicted the city of Rome, Italy. 72

262 A.D. A famine at Rome, Italy attended by a plague.90

271 A.D. Of Rome in 484, or in the year 271 of the Christian era, the winter was so severe, that the snow covered the square in Rome, Italy to a height of several feet for 40 days.80

Winter of 298 / 299 A.D. Towards 299, the winter was very harsh in the north of Gaul [During the time of Ancient Rome, Gaul was a region of Western Europe encompassing present day France, Luxembourg and Belgium, most of Switzerland, the western part of Northern Italy, as well as the parts of the Netherlands and Germany on the left bank of the Rhine.]. 62 The winter of 299 A.D. was very severe in the north of France. 171

300 A.D. Start of the first phase of the Barbarian Invasions

The first phase of the Barbarian Invasions, from 300 AD – 500 AD, put Germanic peoples in control of most areas of what was then the Western Roman Empire. (More at Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Migration_Period)

352 A.D. In England, the Severn valley flooded; great loss.47, 92 [Other sources place this flood in the year 350. 40, 43] In 352, Severn carried off much people and cattle.72 On 5 August 352 A.D., it snowed on the Esquiline (seven hills of Rome, Italy), in the heart of the Roman summer.171 In 352 A.D. during the period between 28 July and 26 August, there was a drought in China. 153

357 A.D. The summer drought of 357 allowed individuals to ford and cross the Rhine River in Germany. 79

377 A.D. In February 377 in northern Gaul, the barbarians cross the Rhine River on the ice. 79

410 A.D. In Rome, Italy, there was a famine followed by a plague.57, 72, 91 Under the Emperor Honorius (who reigned from 395 to 414), so great was the scarcity and dearth of victuals in Rome, Italy, that in the open marketplace, this voice was heard – set a price on man’s flesh. St. Jerome alluding to this plague, says: the rage of the starved with hunger broke forth into abominable excess, so as people mutually devoured the members of each other. Nay, even the tender mother spared not the flesh of her sucking child, but received him again into her bowels whom she had brought forth a little before.72 In Rome, Italy, when Lucius Minutius was first made overseer of the grain, many commoners left so that they should not be tortured with a long famine, covered their faces and cast themselves headlong into the Tiber River.72

449 A.D. In 449, there was a great famine in Italy. 128

450 A.D. In Gaul in the year 450, the weather seasons were extraordinary.79 In Rome, there was a famine followed by a plague.72 In Italy, there was a severe famine – so severe that parents ate their children.57, 90, 91 During the severe famine of 450 in Italy, the Roman emperor decreed that parents who sold their children into slavery had the right to purchase them back with a 20% surcharge.86 A grievous famine afflicted Italy, so that many people sold their children to buy food. This was followed by a plague.72 During the reign of Turgina about 450 A.D. there was a great famine in Kashmir region of India. This famine was attributed to frost.179 During the period between 24 August 450 and 16 May 451, there was a severe drought in China. 153

Winter of 461 / 462 A.D. Danube River was frozen. 1
– Theodomir (King Theodomir of the Ostragoths Amal) with his army crossed the ice on the frozen Danube River to avenge his brother’s death.
– The Var River in southeast France was frozen. 60, 62
– The winter in Swabia (currently a region of Bavaria, Germany) and Provence (a region of southeastern France) was very severe. 62
– In 462 A.D., the Var River in southeast France also froze completely.79
– The winter of 462 A.D. was very severe in Province, France. The Var River was frozen.171
– The Black Sea froze completely. The Rhône River in France was frozen across its width.61

480 A.D. The Tiber River in Rome, Italy froze over.33

500 A.D.  Start of the second phase of the Barbarian Invasions

The second phase of the Barbarian Invasions, from 500 AD – 700 AD, saw Slavic tribes settling in central and eastern Europe (notably in eastern Magna Germania), gradually making it predominantly Slavic. Additionally, Turkic tribes such as the Avars became involved in this phase. (More at Wikipedia, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Migration_Period).

More at “The Islamic Invasion and Conquest of the Roman Empire — Crime of Opportunity

Winter of 507 / 508 A.D. Danube River was frozen over and more or less all the rivers of Europe were frozen.1
– So severe a frost all over Britain that the rivers were frozen up for about two months.
2, 40, 41, 42, 43, 47, 93
– In the year 507, the frost [in Britain] was the severest for 2 months.72
– In 508 A.D., there was a frost in Britain. All the rivers in Britain were frozen for over 2 months.212
– It was very cold in Britain and the rivers were frozen for 2 months.28
– In 559, the Danube River was frozen this winter.62
– In the year 559, the Bulgarians crossed the frozen Danube River, spread over the region of Thrace, and were close to the suburbs of Constantinople.62
– The winter of 559 A.D. [in France] was very severe in the south.171
– In 558, the River Thames in England was frozen for six weeks.29

565 A.D. There was a plague in Rome, Italy, from the rains and floods of 564.72

590 A.D. In Italy, there were great floods from tempest; followed by a plague.47, 72, 92 In 590, there were long rains and a plague after.72 In 590 A.D., there was a famine from a tempest that raised a great flood.57, 72, 91 Rain fell in the months of September and October incessantly for many days and raised such floods in all rivers and lakes in Italy, as to overflow their banks and drown an infinite number of people and cattle. The rain was accompanied by tremendous tempest of thunder and lightning. The river Tiber swelled so high that all the fields, which were not hilly and mountainous, were overflowed. Many people believed it was a second great flood. In Rome, Italy, the Tiber swelled so high that in some places it reached to, and in other places overflowed the cities high walls. And the water rushed in with such fury that is spoiled and defaced the greatest part of the buildings that were near the river. When the floods ceased, the fields were so soft and covered with slime and mud, that they could not be tilled or sown, hence a general famine. The flood not only demolished many stately buildings and ancient monuments, but also got into the church granaries, and carried away many thousand measures of wheat. After the flood, the river brought down innumerable multitude of serpents, and among them a monstrous great one as big as a great beam. All these serpents were swimming down the river into the sea, where they choked, and their carcasses being cast on the shore. There they rotted and by the stench of the slime and mud and excessive moisture, and the air was so corrupted, that a most desolating plague ensued over all Italy, Spain and France. The plague raged and laid waste to many towns. In many 2/3 of the people died. It was most severe at Rome, followed by Liguria [in the coastal region of northwestern Italy] and the Venetian territories [in northeastern Italy], both by floods, famine and plague.72 [The source identified this flood in the year 588 or 589 A.D..] Powerful rains with violent thunder produced severe flooding in Western Europe. These heavy rains reigned in the fall of 590.79 591 A.D. Following the heavy rains, and disastrous floods of 590 AD, the year 591 produced a drought in Western Europe. 79 The summer of 591 A.D.was unusually hot [in France]. 171 The year 591 A.D. in Western Europe was divided as it were between an excessive droughts, which ruined all the meadows, and heavy rainfalls followed by floods, which destroyed much of the hay harvest.79 The excessive dryness of 591 A.D. in Western Europe consumed all the fields.79

592 A.D. There was a drought that lasted from 10 January to September, along with a plague of locust. This produced a famine. 57, 72, 91
There was a remarkably great drought from January to September, attended with a grievous famine and great swarms of locusts, which for two years ate up every green thing and caused a terrible famine in Italy. But they continued for 5 years in Capitaneo, then shifted to another province.72 [Capitaneo may have been end of the Italian peninsula near Bari in the southern Adriatic.]

Winter of 592 / 593 A.D. It was in southern Gaul [Western Europe] such a severe winter that no one living ever remembered a similar winter.62 The winter of 593 was “unprecedented” and extremely harsh in Provence, France. 171

____________
Source: “A Chronological Listing of Early Weather Events,” 7th Edition, by James A. Marusek

Last but not least (and there are many more instances of weather events during the interval for European regions and specific locations), when the Roman Warm Period was definitely over,  came the Islamic Invasion and occupation of most of what was left of the Roman Empire:

In 633 AD The Islamic Invasions of the Middle East, Egypt, all of North Africa, as well as much of Europe, began after the death of Mohammed (632 AD).
More at “The Islamic Invasion and Conquest of the Roman Empire — Crime of Opportunity

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References (for  the quotes above that were excerpted from “A Chronological Listing of Early Weather Events,” 7th Edition, by James A. Marusek)

1. Charles Peirce, A Meteorological Account of the Weather in Philadelphia from January 1, 1790 to January 1 1847, Lindsay & Blakiston, Philadelphia, 1847.

2. The Tablet of Memory; showing every Memorable Event in History, from the Earliest Period to the Year 1817. Thirteenth Edition, London, 1818.

28. Christopher Chatfield, Landmarks of World History: The Gallery of Natural Phenomena, 2010, URL:
http://www.phenomena.org.uk/Landmarks_index.htm [cited 19 June 2010].

29. Where Thames Smooth Waters Glide: Frost Fairs, URL: http://thames.me.uk/s00051.htm [cited 20 June 2010].

33. List of Rivers and Harbors that Use to Freeze, 19 December 2009, JP Simon URL: http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/2508261/when_is_the_last_time_new_york_harbor.html?cat=37 [cited 23 June 2010]

40. Tablet of Memory, Shewing Every Memorable Event in History from the Earliest Period to the Year 1783, Fifth Edition, 1783, G. Robinson, London.

42. William Darby, Mnemonika or the Tablet of Memory, being a Register of Events from the Earliest Period to the Year 1829,
Edward J. Coale, Baltimore, 1829.

43. The New Tablet of Memory; or, Mirror of Chronology, History, Statistics, Arts, and Sciences, from the Earliest Period to the Year 1838, Fifteenth Edition, 1838, Longman et. al., London.

47. (Royal) Journal of the Statistical Society, Volume XLI – Year 1878, London, Edward Stanford, 1878.

57. Cornelius Walford, The Famines of the World: Past and Present, Edward Stanford, London, 1879

60. M. Benoist, Dictionnaire de Géographie Sacrée et Ecclésiastique (Volume 3), Paris, 1848.

61. Bulletin de la Société Departmentale D’Archéologie et de Statistique de la Drome, Au Secrétariat de la Société, Valence,
1889.

62. Franz Arago’s Sämmtliche Werke (Volume 8), Verlag von Otto Wigand, Leipzig, 1860.

72. Thomas Short, A General Chronological History of Air, Weather, Seasons, Meteors in Sultry Places and different Times, London, Volumes 1 & 2, 1749.

79. Joseph-Jean-Nicolas Fuster, Des Changements dans le Climat de la France, Histoire de ses Révolutions Météorologiques, Paris, 1845.

80. Filosofia della Statistica esposta da Melchiorre Gioja, Tomo Primo, Milano, 1826

84. Ralph A. Graves, Fearful Famines of the Past, The National Geographic Magazine, Volume XXXII, No. 1, July 1917

86. Cormac Ó Gráda, Famine: A Short History, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2009.

90. Benjamin Vincent, Haydn’s Dictionary of Dates and Universal Information, G.P. Putnam’s Sons, New York, 1893.

91. Cornelius Walford, The Insurance Cyclopaedia, Volume III, London & New York, 1874.

92. Cornelius Walford, The Insurance Cyclopaedia, Volume IV, London, 1876.

93. Cornelius Walford, The Insurance Cyclopaedia, Volume V, London, 1878.

128. Chronology of Public Events and Remarkable Occurrences within the Last Fifty Years or from 1771 to 1821, London

153. Shan-yu Yao, Floods and Droughts in Chinese History, their Distribution and Correlation, 206 B.C – 1911 A.D., University of Pennsylvania, Thesis, 1941.

171. Meteoromandie.ch, Evénements météorologiques de l’an zéro à l’an mil, URL: http://www.meteoromandie.ch/almanach-0- 1000.php [cited 7 June 2012].

179. Prithwis Chandra Ray, Indian Famines: Their Causes and Remedies, Calcutta, 1901.

212. E.J. Lowe, Natural Phenomena and Chronology of the Seasons, London, 1870.
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Source: “A Chronological Listing of Early Weather Events,” 7th Edition, by James A. Marusek

Posted in Climate & Weather, History, Islam, religion of peace - not so, Islamic jihad | 2 Comments

2017 — Most popular posts at dads&things

dads&things had a total of 15,138 views of postings in 2017.  Here is a list of the 11 most popular posts and their links.

  1. FACTS EVERY ONE SHOULD KNOW ABOUT DESERTION

    Guest post by Roger Eldridge, National Mens Council of Ireland

  2. Indian men’s suicides reached epidemic proportions

  3. Violence: A crime most often committed by women

  4. Fathers rights organizations in Winnipeg, Manitoba

  5. Second World War – Bombing of the German Cities

  6. Albanien: Schwurjungfrauen entsagtem dem Sex und übernahmen die Rolle des Mannes

  7. Is the MGTOW phenomenon a good thing or not?

  8. Renewable energy neither practical nor viable

  9. Tom Ball’s last statement a message for all

  10. Men’s suicides in India inequality-driven

  11. dads&things at WordPress received “Badge of Recognition”

___________
And once more, A Happy and Prosperous New Year to all,

Walter

Posted in Censorship, Divorce, Economy, Environment, Gay issues, History, Men's Issues, Paternal Rights, Suicides, Web Statistics, Women's Violence | Leave a comment

Little Ice Age — Climate Trend Milestone?

The Little Ice Age (LIA) received much attention by those who were affected by it.  Much was written about it, and most of that was forgotten again.

Index

The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change) discussed the Medieval Warm Period (from about 950 to about 1250) and the subsequent Little Ice Age (from about 1300 to about 1850) in section 7 of the IPCC 1 [1990] climate report, from which a Figure 7c became a somewhat-less-than-commonly-used image, at times presented as evidence of that both the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age had occurred.  The image does not quite match current standards for graphic presentations of data, is often not attributed to a specific author but was frequently attributed to Hubert H. Lamb,  Ph,D. (22 September 1913 – 28 June 1997), who had founded the Climatic Research Unit in 1972 in the School of Environmental Sciences at the University of East Anglia.  Hubert H. Lamb is considered by many to have been the father (or at least one of the fathers) of modern climate science.

The Little Ice Age per Hubert H. Lamb

The Little Ice Age (attributed to Hubert H. Lamb)
(See an excellent analysis by Steve McIntyre of the origin of the graph, of what it represents and how accurate it is:
Where did IPCC 1990 Figure 7c Come From?“)

Birth of the Climate Hockey-Stick Graph

The Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age regained prominence once more, lately, when Michael E. Mann produced a graph which showed a global temperature trend that glared by the absence of all evidence of not only the Little Ice Age but also of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP).

The Little Ice Age per Michael Mann — The LIA vanished

The Little Ice Age per Michael E. Mann — The MWP and the LIA vanished; shades of gray or of what?

Mark Steyn: "A Disgrace to the Profession"

“A DISGRACE TO THE PROFESSION”
by Mark Steyn
Cover of book

Michael E. Mann’s “Hockey-Stick Graph,” as it became known, caused many people in global-warming circles to love it, and many others — skeptics of the theory of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) — to write much about it, thereby to enable Michael E. Mann to acquire much infamy.  For instance, Michael E. Mann took Tim Ball, a venerable, retired Canadian Climate scientist, to court for making an off-hand, humorous remark about Michael E. Mann, for having stated that the latter should not be at Penn State (University) but in the state pen.  Michael E. Mann, for similar reasons, also sued Mark Steyn, an internationally renowned conservative journalist.  Mark Steyn was nevertheless not deterred by that.  Between court hearings of Michael E, Mann’s lawsuit against him, he penned a well-selling book about the affair of Michael E. Mann’s Hockey Stick graph.

The Medieval Warm Period had made all of the then known civilization thrive.  Amongst other things, it helped the emergence of a construction boom in Gothic cathedrals in Europe, motivated the Vikings to settle in Greenland, and it caused the emergence of a burgeoning sector of agriculture, involving vineyards, the growing and harvesting of grapes, and a wine production in England rivaling that of France.  Olive trees were cultivated in Germany, as stated in this,

Grapes were grown in England several hundred kilometers
north of their current limits of growth, and subtropical
flora such as fig trees and olive trees grew in regions
of Europe (northern Italy and parts of Germany) well
north of their current range. Geological evidence indicates
that mountain glaciers throughout Europe retreated
substantially at this time, relative to the glacial advances of
later centuries (Grove and Switsur, 1994)
___________
Source: Medieval Climatic Optimum
Michael E Mann
University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA

Michael E. Mann deliberately obscured, in reports he produced later, that the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age were of global significance, ignoring all evidence to the contrary and argued that they were merely local phenomena that had affected only Europe.

Debunking the Climate Hockey-Stick Graph

Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, Ph,D, debunked the claims by Michael E, Mann that his arguments against the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age had any scientific validity.  They demonstrated, furthermore, that Michael E. Mann had used dubious means for constructing the blade for his Hockey Stick Graph.  He had tacked late modern temperature readings to the shaft of his hockey stick that was based on calculations of temperature values constructed from estimates of temperature proxies such as the measurements of tree rings.  It is a scientific “no-no” to mix different sources of data in that manner, but that was not all.

Steve McIntyre and Ross McKitrick  analyzed all of it and published their findings in this:

CORRECTIONS TO THE MANN et. al. (1998)
PROXY DATA BASE AND NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC
AVERAGE TEMPERATURE SERIES

Stephen McIntyre
512-120 Adelaide St. West, Toronto, Ontario Canada M5H 1T1;

Ross McKitrick
Department of Economics, University of Guelph, Guelph Ontario Canada N1G2W1.

2002

ABSTRACT
The data set of proxies of past climate used in Mann, Bradley and Hughes (1998, “MBH98” hereafter) for the estimation of temperatures from 1400 to 1980 contains collation errors, unjustifiable truncation or extrapolation of source data, obsolete data, geographical location errors, incorrect calculation of principal components and other quality control defects. We detail these errors and defects. We then apply MBH98 methodology to the construction of a Northern Hemisphere average temperature index for the 1400-1980 period, using corrected and updated source data. The major finding is that the values in the early 15th century exceed any values in the 20th century. The particular “hockey stick” shape derived in the MBH98 proxy construction – a temperature index that decreases slightly between the early 15th century and early 20th century and then increases dramatically up to 1980 — is primarily an artefact of poor data handling, obsolete data and incorrect calculation of principal components.

More at Steve McIntyre’s blog, and far more yet can be accessed through the linked index there.

Critics of Michael E. Mann and MBH98 were and are not so much upset by that proxies were used and that the interval was arbitrarily truncated, but that unreliable proxies were used wrongly and had tacked to them values calculated from actual temperature readings for the late 20th century, that it was not the result of a scientifically correct and trustworthy effort, and that it uses selected data and weighted it preferentially and unacceptably to strengthen the desired argument.  Moreover, it was noted by critics that data that did not fit the argument made by the report had been discarded or given less weight than preferred data.

Temperature measurements via thermometers was not done, globally and reliably, until after reliable thermometers and methods to use them spread, globally.  Proxies exist and are ever more often discovered and examined to yield data from which trustworthy [and of course at times not so trustworthy] estimates [are produced] of what temperature trends were in ever more locations all over Earth, for when no thermometers existed. A collection of indicators of such studies can be examined at the website of CO2 Science, for example, identifying proxies that show evidence of the Medieval Warm Period and the Little Ice Age being found all over the Earth, in this:

___________
Aftermath (added 2018 01 05):

Climate Hockey-Graph vs. objective science

Michael E. Mann on the left, Tim Ball on the right

Penn State climate scientist, Michael ‘hockey stick’ Mann commits contempt of court in the ‘climate science trial of the century.’ Prominent alarmist shockingly defies judge and refuses to surrender data for open court examination. Only possible outcome: Mann’s humiliation, defeat and likely criminal investigation in the U.S.

The defendant in the libel trial, the 79-year-old Canadian climatologist, Dr Tim Ball (above, right) is expected to instruct his British Columbia attorneys to trigger mandatory punitive court sanctions, including a ruling that Mann did act with criminal intent when using public funds to commit climate data fraud. Mann’s imminent defeat is set to send shock waves worldwide within the climate science community as the outcome will be both a legal and scientific vindication of U.S. President Donald Trump’s claims that climate scare stories are a “hoax.”…. (More)

Anecdotal information on notable weather events during the LIA, their manifestations and impacts

Just a few examples from a much larger Chronology (the body of the text of is very large and contains more detailed summaries of the items in the list):

  • The “Great Storm” that had the intensity of a major Category 2 hurricane which struck England in November 1703.
  • The severity of winter in the Upper Midwest of the United States during the last Little Ice Age. Refer to the winters of 1680/1681 and 1747/1748.
  • The massive firestorm that raced through Wisconsin, Illinois and Michigan and into Ontario, Canada in 1871.
  • The severe winter of 1683/1684 when the English Channel froze.
  • The drought in Egypt due to a lack of the annual inundation of the Nile River that resulted in the Great Famine of 1199‐1202.
  • The global droughts and famines of 1783‐1785, 1876‐1879, and 1895.
  • The three forms of microscopic diamond dust ice crystal (hexagon plates, hexagon columns and the deadly long prisms). The latter type occurs in diamond dust icefalls called by the American Indian name “pogonip” which translates to “white death”.
  • The great storms that struck the Spanish fleet in the Caribbean and the Atlantic Ocean during the summer of 1591.
  • The severe winters of 642, 763/764, and 775 when the Black Sea froze. [That happened after end of the Roman Climate Optimum.]
  • The effects of the Tambora volcanic eruption of 10 April 1815 which caused “a year without summer” in 1816.
  • The great Atlantic hurricane of 9‐16 October 1780.
  • The Great September hurricanes of 1752, 1782 and 1804.
  • The Great Storm that struck Wales during the winter of 1171/1172.
  • The “day of darkness” in New England that occurred on 19 May 1780.
  • The great flood of 48 A.D and the great storm of 67 A.D. that struck England.
  • A typical winter in Boston Massachusetts towards the end of the last Little Ice Age. (Refer to the winter of 1771/1772.)
  • The thunder storm that struck Greenland in 1755.
  • The avalanche of snow in Italy in 1755.
  • The Atlantic hurricanes of 1553, 1559, 1590, 1591, 1600, 1601, 1605, 1622, 1644, 1666, 1680, 1689, 1694, 1715, 1719, 1722, 1747, 1751, 1752, 1766, 1767, 1768, 1772, 1775, 1776, 1780, 1781, 1782, 1784, 1785, 1791, 1800, 1804, 1813, 1815, 1817, 1825, 1831, 1870, 1873, 1893, 1899, and 1900.
  • Typhoons/Cyclones that struck
    — China in 1166, 1474, 1748, 1822, 1862, 1874, and 1881.
    — Vietnam 1881.
    — Bangladesh in 1584, 1699, 1737, 1767, 1787, 1822, 1831, 1876, 1886, and 1897.
    — India in 1737, 1749, 1782, 1789, 1833, 1839, 1854, 1864, 1867, 1875, 1876, 1882, and 1886.
    — Australia in 1795, and 1899.
    — Japan in 1828.
  • The great lightning storm that struck southern France in 753.
  • Powerful storms that struck the coasts of France, Spain and England in 1751.
  • The Powerful storm that struck the western coast of England in 1757.
  • The great winters in Germany in 760/761, 1019/1020.
  • The Canadian winter of 1741/1742.
  • The severe European winters of 566/567, 821/822, 859/860, 874/875, 993/994, 1076/1077, 1114/1115, 1132/1133, 1149/1150, 1216, 1233/1234, 1305/1306, 1323/1324, 1363/1364, 1407/1408, 1433/1434, 1459/1460, 1490/1491, 1564/1565, 1594/1595, 1607/1608, 1620/1621, 1621/1622, 1657/1658, 1669/1670, 1680/1681, 1683/1684, 1691/1692, 1708/1709, 1739/1740, 1748/1749, 1753/1754, 1762/1763, 1766/1767, 1775/1776, 1781/1782, 1783/1784, 1784/1785, 1788/1789, 1794/1795, 1798/1799, 1812/1813, 1819/1820, 1829/1830, and 1844/1845.
  • The Chinese winters of 1445/1446, 1510, 1574, 1627/1628, 1655, 1691, 1749, 1751/1752, and 1863/1864.
  • The severe North American winters of 1696, 1697, 1716/1717, 1740/1741, 1742/1743, 1747/1748, 1761/1762, 1764/1765, 1765/1766, 1771/1772, 1779/1780, 1783/1784, 1786/1787, 1798/1799, 1799/1800, 1804/1805, 1806/1807, 1814/1815, 1816/1817, 1820/1821, 1830/1831, 1834/1835, 1835/1836, 1856/1857, 1863/1864, 1883/1884, 1884/1885, and 1898/1899.
  • The winters when the Nile River froze: 829/830, 1011, and 1691/1692.
  • The great winters of 1783/1784 and 1784/1785 in the Northern Hemisphere, followed by great spring floods as the snow melted.
  • Mild Russian winters of 1303/1304, 1753/1754, 1758/1759, 1818/1819, and 1821/1822.
  • This chronology is overflowing with times of Great Famines. Famines caused by excessive rainfall, droughts, hailstorms, severe winters, and summers robbed of the sun’s heat.  Here are but a few examples:
    — China in 463-464, 1033, 1328, 1333-1337, 1354, 1458, 1476, 1522, 1787, 1810-1811, 1846, 1849, and 1875-1878.
    — Japan in 626, 1230, and 1782-1788.
    — Korea in 1784.
    — India in 942, 1022, 1052, 1327, 1345, 1396, 1556, 1596, 1630-1631, 1661, 1769-1770, 1780-1784, 1790-1792, 1802-1807, 1810, 1812-1813, 1823, 1832-1835, 1865-1866, 1868-1870, 1873-1874, 1876-1878, and 1896-1900.
    — Bangladesh in 1780-1784, and 1873-1874.
    — Pakistan in 1780-1784.
    — North Africa in 484 and 1784-1785.
    — Egypt in 966/967, 1064-1071, 1199-1202, and 1784-1785
    — Iran in 1870-1872.
    — Western Europe in 1033.
    — England in 310, 680, 700, 1004-1016, 1234, 1239, 1257-1259, and 1314-1316.
    — Ireland in 963-964, 1116, and 1845-1851.
    — France in 869, and 1030-1032.
    — Scotland in 936-939, 954, and 1695-1699.
    — Italy in 410, 450, 538, 776, 1230, and 1347.
    — Belgium in 1587.
    — Germany in 1310-1319, 1347, and 1772.
    — Poland and Bohemia in 1281, 1312, 1315, 1737, and 1770.
    — Hungary in 1505, 1782, and 1808.
    — Finland and Estonia in 1695-1697, and 1867-1868.
    — Russia in 1024, 1128, 1212, 1215, 1230, 1445, 1600-1602, 1701, and 1891-1892.
    — Turkey in 1873-1876.
    — Mexico in 1454, and 1785-1786.
    — Cape de Verde Island and the Island of Sumatra in 1775.
  • The tornado that struck Charleston, South Carolina in 1761.
  • The ice hill at Shanghai, China during the winter of 1769/1770.
  • The dense fog in the Netherlands during the winter of 1790/1791.
  • The great hailstorm of 13 July 1788. [page 870]….
  • [and much, much more….]
    _______________
    Source: “A Chronological Listing of Early Weather Events,” 7th Edition, James A. Marusek

Anyone who reads through the Chronology will be left with the firm impression that it is not so much warmth and warmer weather that kill, but that cold and cold climates are absolutely deadly and far more dangerous to human health, life and civilization.

A Cold Spell (2017 12 17 – 2018 01 2) and how it fits into the Scientific Climate Record Trend

Our severe cold spell (it is not really all that bad, as far as cold spells go) began 2017 12 17 and received first attention by the media and others on about Christmas Eve, when temperatures had fallen so low that no one could avoid noticing that it had become bitter cold and would remain so for some days in all or most of North America.  I summarized some of the comments I had posted on Facebook about that, elaborated on them and published that summary in the form of a blog posting (2017 12 29) at dads&things.

The Little Ice Age was merely one of the latest of such events (the current Modern Climate Optimum is neither all that remarkable nor optimal) in a very long string of similar ones that had contributed to a very gradual cooling of our globe during the last 9,000 years or so.  No one in the world knows why the long-term global cooling trend should stop now, reverse and turn colder (or much warmer yet), any time soon or at all.  We have not experienced statistically significant global warming for close to 30 years now. No one graduating from high school and entering college has ever seen or experienced any of it.

The Little Ice Age in the greater context — It cannot be erased.

The Little Ice Age in the greater context — It cannot be erased. There are simply too many places where the erasing would have to be done. The truth cannot remain hidden.

In the much longer term of the life of our globe, for the last 4.5 billion years, neither the Medieval Warm Period nor the Little Ice Age mean much, nor can they even be noticed in any graph of the long-term trends of either temperatures or atmospheric CO2 content, but it is unavoidable to notice that it not atmospheric CO2 content that drove the climate history of Earth.

Geological Time Scale — CO2 vs. Temp, 4.5 billion years to now

Geological Time Scale — CO2 vs. Temp, 4.5 billion years to now

A Happy and Prosperous New Year to all (and make sure to keep warm),

Walter H. Schneider,
Bruderheim, Alberta, Canada
__________
P.S. A the time of writing this, 2017 12 31 13:40 hrs, the current temperature had warmed up considerably.  It was a relatively balmy -22.3°C, the sky cloudless and a bright blue, and the wind was very slight.  It was comfortable inside.   Let’s hope that the price of natural gas will not rise too much (ostensibly to cure us from being addicted to keeping our homes warm and comfortable, so as to allegedly have us help to pay for mitigating measures that will keep the globe from burning us to cinders).

Posted in Climate & Weather, History, Islam, religion of peace - not so | 5 Comments

Global warming? While Hell freezes over?

This is a long commentary that relates to our current cold spell and the context of the longer climate trends it is part of.  Of course, I hope that anyone reading it will enjoy doing so.  Some people insist that a long commentary should have an index.  Just in case that is important to any reader (Word Press suggest that it is), it is an afterthought and not part of the original version I posted yesterday, but here it is:

Index
Introduction
Note on the Little Ice Age (added 2017 12 30)
[Related commentary: Little Ice Age — Climate Trend Milestone?, added 2017 12 31]
• Climate comparisons — Edmonton vs. nearby Elk Island National Park
• Warmth is good, cold not so much, and Honolulu draws tourists for good reasons
• The Absence of Evidence of Global Warming
Conclusion

Introduction

The effects of global warming – real or not, in the long run – are much overrated.  It is cold out there.  It was a bone-chilling -31°C at 05:30 hrs today (2017 12 29).  Our neighbour wanted to drive to work at that time and could not start her car.  She had forgotten to plug-in the block heater for her car’s engine, did that then and managed to leave, eventually, an hour late, leaving a cloud of fog behind her that stretched from their garage all the way down to the end of the block, still stretching around the corner, where she turned into the next street on her way to work.

Edmonton temperatures, end of Dec. 2017

It is cold out there (even in Edmonton, in a good-sized Urban Heat Island).

We live in Bruderheim, Alberta, Canada.  It had warmed up a little by noon, to -27.7°C [back down to -29.3 at 23:00 hrs]. The Sun was shining, the sky blue, the wind very light.  The furnaces of every house in the neighbourhood were working in unison, their chimneys decorated with long exhaust plumes.  What was visible was the water vapour from the natural gas they burn.  That turned instantly to ice crystals in the very cold outside air.  The long furnace exhaust plumes combined eventually as they spread out a bit, driven by the slight wind for miles, while they treated us to the view of two beautiful sun dogs, one to either side of the Sun.

All of that is beautiful to see, but not all that nice to experience, and this is not even as cold as it often is.  I experienced years when the temperatures for weeks on end never seemed to rise above -20°C and often dropped to as low as -45°C and lower.  That brings new experiences, such as tools that break, freezing gas lines (actually, that is not what they usually are; the cause of that is gas-line fuel-filters that get plugged with ice crystals).  One of the most aggravating consequences of that was that the stove oil in the fuel tank for the oil furnace on our farm would jell on very cold days.  I soon fixed that, by building an enclosure for it that got heated by waste heat leaking from the outside wall of our well-insulated house on the farm.  The jelling of fuel had happened once too often (twice was enough), as on extremely cold and calm nights the temperatures on the farm were virtually without fail a full ten degrees Celsius lower than they were in the nearby Town of Bruderheim (about nine miles away, as the crow flies), which was “warmly” ensconced in the urban heat island of its own creation..  Well, I made sure that the fuel tank for our furnace was inside one of those heat islands were it stood.  The stove oil never jelled again.

Every thing that uses energy radiates heat.  Heat islands are everywhere, from very small to very large, depending on what produces and radiates heat, how intensely it does so and how many heat-producing things there are.  Where a lot of people lives and works, and where they occupy large areas, the heat island is large and called “Urban Heat Island.” Urban Heat Islands or not, there are many places on Earth where it is much more comfortable, which motivates people from cold areas to move every year to areas that are warm.  We call those people “snow birds.”  They are people who flee south when the snow flies, and who can blame them for doing that.  Warmth attracts people from cold areas.  Cold does not attract many people from warm areas, which is good for the tourist industry in warm areas.

There is a major reason why snow birds go to Honolulu.

Honolulu is warm all year around but not Elk Island National Park.

Every winter it turns cold in the Northern Hemisphere, and every time that happens, especially when it manifests itself in a cold spell that hits with a vengeance in a given locality, many people will say things such as, “There goes global warming,” to which others respond with expressions such as, “What Global warming?!!”

It gets often cold in places in the Southern Hemisphere, too, except that not as many people live in corresponding southern latitudes and that what they hear and say about it goes unobserved by the English-language media in the north.  Hardly anyone in  South America speaks English, and feelings depends on impressions made, wherefore feelings about the weather trends that the masses obsess over depend on what the local media will tell them, thereby preventing them from assessing their feelings objectively.

Every summer, in either hemisphere, the process reverses.  The attention of the masses is on that it is hot, dry, and on that often that will cause wild-fires to happen and to spread, droughts put crops into peril, and the people not fortunate enough to be able to enjoy air-conditioning sweat a lot.  That makes everyone renew his fears of global warming being an aspect of it, and that, what is felt by man must therefore without a doubt also be caused by man.

Many skeptics insist that our old globe may be warming a bit, almost imperceptibly, not enough to matter, let alone measure, but they calculate how much of an impact it may have, and estimates vary.  They bring out proof that man’s contributions to global warming are statistically insignificant.  They argue that, demonstrably, while presenting proof, that, while mankind without a doubt contributes to warming and how much energy is being converted by mankind to heat, it is not enough to be noticed or to be measurable.  The skeptics assert that is so because the signal of mankind’s contribution to global warming is indiscernible and lost in the overall, global warming trend.

Overall warming of our globe, including the relatively minuscule and immeasurably small contributions  (although allegedly catastrophic, as warmists such as Al Gore assert) by mankind, has been small since the end of the Little Ice Age (LIA).


Note — 2017 12 30:

The Little Ice Age

Our current severe cold spell began 2017 12 17 and received first attention by the media and others on about Christmas Eve, when temperatures had fallen so low that no one could avoid noticing that it had become bitter cold and would remain so for some days in all or most of North America.  Yesterday morning I had decided to summarize some of the comments I had posted on Facebook about that, to elaborate on them and post that summary in the form of this blog posting to my blog, dads&things

The Little Ice Age per Hubert H. Lamb

The Little Ice Age per Hubert H. Lamb

When I set out to do that, I had wanted to give well-deserved attention to the Little Ice Age and the context of the medium- and long-term climate trends of which the current cold spell as well as any other cold- and warm-spells we experience are part.  It is important that it be done, because no raving or raging by any climate alarmist can obscure the reality that not only did the Little Ice Age happen, but that it was nothing more than just a very minor, relatively insignificant event.  The Little Ice Age was merely the latest of such events in a very long string of similar ones that had contributed to a very gradual cooling of our globe during the last 9,000 years or so.  No one in the world knows why the long-term global cooling trend should stop and reverse now, any time soon or at all.

The Little Ice Age per Michael Mann — The LIA vanished

The Little Ice Age per Michael Mann — The LIA vanished; shades of gray or of what?

The Little Ice Age was not very important in the greater scheme of things, but the efforts to obfuscate that it had happened and to eradicate the history of it having happened took on major significance.  Therein lies a good story.  That story needs to be mentioned.  I’ll do that and will of course not be the first to do so, but the story is too long to be made part of this blog posting.  It deserves a place all of its own, to give some of the things that were done in connection with it and the doers of them the full attention they should have. 

[Update 2017 12 31: Here, a day later than promised, is my commentary on the Little Ice Age — Climate Trend Milestone?“]

The Little Ice Age in the greater context — It cannot be erased.

The Little Ice Age in the greater context — It cannot be erased. There are simply too many places where the erasing would have to be done. The truth cannot remain hidden.


__________
P.S. A the time of writing this note, at 09:53 hours, the current temperature was still a solid -30.3°C, the sky blue, there were just very few faint clouds on the horizon far away to the SE, there was no wind, and a large flock of Bohemian Waxwings was busy eating the berries decorating the Rowan tree out front.  They seemed to be quite happy doing that, as they always were when doing it for as long as anyone can remember and quite likely for a long time before that, since long before mankind showed up.

/end note


The Little Ice Age did happen.  Although it was not a true ice age, it was a period of a few hundred years during which some miserably cold weather events took place.  Some so-called scientists insist that the LIA did not happen.  They did their very best to erase all evidence of the LIA, but that was not good enough.  Fortunately, the truth about the LIA having been real can and has been found in many proxies, all over the world and is still being affirmed by more and more scientists through diligent examination of ever more and an ever greater variety of climate proxies of undeniable veracity and credibility.  Besides, records of terrible weather events far worse than anything that happened in recent memory were recorded for as long as mankind had been able to write (mostly, it appears, that was during times when climate trends took a more rapid than usual turn to the worse and grew unusually cold — warming had always been more enjoyable, cold weather is deadly, warm weather not so much).

The causes of the downturn in the global climatological trends are not as easily established and are open to speculation.  Still, it is a fact that the LIA gradually came to an end by about 1850, and no one knows what brought about a return to generally more comfortable conditions.  One thing is not open to speculation.  The warming that brought about the end of the LIA could not possibly have been caused by the advent and proliferation of SUVs or by anything else that would have been caused by the great, global industrial growth that began a hundred years after the LIA’s demise.

The debate rages on.  Warmists such as Al Gore insist that the future will be bleak for humanity, that it will soon resemble Hell on Earth.  They make great personal fortunes through fear mongering.  More moderate voices have so far not quite prevailed but appear to be in the process of doing so, successfully.  Science is never settled but inexorably advances, while the struggle between expressions based on feelings and the reporting of new scientific discoveries that are corroborated by objective facts continues.

It has not been an easy road to travel for either side.  It will be a long time yet until the objective truth of climate trends will become more fashionable than feelings, and so far it is still somewhat more injurious to anyone’s professional career in Academe to insist that climate “science” is not yet settled than it is to drift along and go with the feelings that people like Al Gore do their best to incite.

Feelings about the weather are like opinions.  Everyone has one or more, and a lot of money is being made by promoting and cashing in on them.  The more fear of climate change, the easier it is to have people shell out money for measures that will allegedly mitigate the adverse causes and effects of climate change.  The more it costs to implement and operate those measures, the more profits there are for interested parties.  Common sense has little to do with it, the willingness of the masses to pay for saving the globe is what matters.  Feelings rule, especially when people feel the effects of weather extremes, however local those may be, while lacking any and all global aspects or prevalence.

Is there a way out?  Is it possible for the common man, for Joe Sixpack, to be able to cut to the chase?  Yes, it is, and it can be done with just a few key strokes and very little effort.  There are tools that permit anyone with Internet access to compare his experiences of what the weather is like where he lives to somewhere else where he is not.  To make that comparison for a location right in an Urban Heat Island (UHI) to one nearby that is not within the boundaries of that UHI, and to be able to see the differences between aspects of the weather over time in the two locations, will illustrate whether one of the two locations is  experiencing the effects of global warming as much as the other one is.  It is not possible for two locations that are not separated by a large distance to differ much with respect to temperature trends or with respect to the sum of climate aspects for a number of decades on account of only global warming or cooling.  When there are large weather differences at locations of close proximity, then those are not caused by global warming but by something else.  For example:

Climate comparisons — Edmonton vs. nearby Elk Island National Park

The comparison is of hourly measurements and calculated for daily averages over time in an average year for the City of Edmonton and in nearby Elk Island National Park (both in Alberta, Canada).

  1. CYXD is a weather station at what was the Edmonton Municipal Airport, close to the heart of Edmonton, both located in an Urban Heat Island, and
  2. CWFE is the weather station in Elk Island National Park, at a rural location that is not within the boundaries of or even close to any Urban Heat Island.

The two weather stations are separated by 42 km (26 miles) and do not differ much in elevation (666 m above sea level for the first vs. 718 m above sea level for the second).  The comparison illustrated by the following graphs is for the averages of measurements from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2016. (“The details of the data sources used … vary between places and are discussed in detail on each place’s dedicated page: Edmonton City Centre AirportElk Island National Park” — Weather Spark; the following graphs are from that web page.)

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average Monthly Rainfall

Average Monthly Rainfall

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average High and Low temperatures

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average High and Low temperatures

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average Monthly Snowfall

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average Monthly Snowfall

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average Wind Speed

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Average Wind Speed

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Daily Chance of Precipitation

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Daily Chance of Precipitation

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Tourism Score<br />There is not much difference between the two in that department.

Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park — Tourism Score

There is not much differences between the two locations with respect to the characteristics of the weather on offer to tourism.  Edmonton is slightly more attractive from the end of May to the middle of September.  On the other hand,  that is where without a question Honolulu really shines throughout the whole year, and no fears about global warming that anyone like Al Gore manages to drum up will put a dent into that difference and the attraction the Hawaiian Islands have for snow birds from the cold regions of the World.

Edmonton vs. Honolulu — Tourism Scores

Edmonton vs. Honolulu — Tourism Scores

Let Al Gore think about the advantages Honolulu has for snow birds, and about why he did not locate any of his posh residential palaces within our pristine climatic conditions so close to the Arctic. He does not put his money where his mouth is.  Nevertheless, given that there are many millions of people who are not as discerning as he is, here is a bit of information that is of interest to my niece in Düsseldorf, Germany, who maintains that the mild Atlantic climate that prevails in Düsseldorf is much preferable over what people in the Edmonton region are forced to endure: a steady alternation between influxes of mild Pacific air driven by  a “Pine Apple Express” from Hawaii and cold Arctic air slumping down from the “Arctic Vortex,” as meteorologist so lovingly designate two major sources of our local weather changes and turn-overs.

In absolute, objective terms, the differences in the local climates of Edmonton and Düsseldorf, respectively, are not all that large, by far not as large when compared to what Honolulu and other equally attractive localities have on offer for tourists, but have a look:

Duesseldorf vs. Honolulu — Tourism Scores

Düsseldorf vs. Honolulu — Tourism Scores

Compared to what Honolulu has on offer to tourism, whatever Düsseldorf offers in comparison to Edmonton is only marginally better.  The year-round climate conditions of locations like Honolulu present advantages of Global warming (if only it were to happen) that people like Al Gore have not yet been able or willing to wrap their minds around, but why should they?  They make a good living from promoting climate alarmism.  They vote with their feet and instruct their bankers to pay for the real-estate purchases they make where the climate is benign, benevolent and enjoyable.

The Absence of Evidence of Global Warming
Focusing the Comparison of Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park on specific intervals of the periods from 1945 to end of 2017

Weather is not only absolute, locally.  Local weather phenomena are also relative, different in different localities of a region.  Globally, global warming is an abstract that many people cannot relate to without confusing it with their experiences, and those experiences are very personal and were gained locally.  None of those experiences have anything measurable to do with global warming.  Global warming cannot be perceived realistically or objectively, let alone be blamed realistically on anyone or on mankind. For example, it warmed far more outside today, from 05:30 (-31°C) to 11:30 (-29.1°C) than it did globally from 1850 to 2017.  No one can perceive the differences on any scale, not through feelings, and not chronologically or geographically.  It is possible to make meaningful comparisons that people have no trouble relating to objectively, in relative terms.  Let’s do that through records of measurements that were made.

Temperature differences over time — Edmonton vs Elk Island National Park, 1990 to 2017

Temperature differences over time — Edmonton vs Elk Island National Park, 1990 to 2017

Temperature differences over time — Edmonton vs Elk Island National Park, 1994 01 01 to 1995 12 31

Temperature differences over time — Edmonton vs Elk Island National Park, 1994 01 01 to 1995 12 31

Temps_Edtn-EIP_2016-2017_weekly

Temps_Edtn-EIP_2016-2017_weekly

The warming in Edmonton is not a consequence of global warming but a result of the growth of Edmonton's Urban Heat Island effect.

Temperature Differences over time — Edmonton vs. Elk Island National Park, annual means, shows rising temperatures in Edmonton but not for Elk Island Park
The warming in Edmonton, relative to the temperature trend in Elk Island National Park is not a consequence of global warming but a result of the growth of Edmonton’s Urban Heat Island effect.
(click on “all years” at that web page, under “weather history”)

Conclusion

So, Al Gore, put that into your pipe and smoke it.  Let’s see whether that will take people’s minds off what bothers them right now, namely that “it is cold enough to freeze the balls of a brass monkey,” for hundreds of millions of people in the northern hemisphere who do not have your wealth to be able to live where you choose to live.  They must endure the cold weather they have, the only weather they’ve got, rather than to attend the Church of Global Warming you run for profit.

There is no escaping it, and as Benjamin Franklin put it: “One of the greatest tragedies of life is the murder of a beautiful theory by a gang of brutal facts”.

 

Posted in Climate & Weather, Corruption, History, Propaganda Exposed, Religion | 1 Comment

Charity cures? Socialism eradicates causes of poverty?

Charity is not a very good cure

Socialism will not eradicate the causes of poverty

Walter H. Schneider, 20117 12 25,

[Someone] said, Re: Problems with Charity, 2017 12 24:

»I have never volunteered at a homeless shelter i have volunteered my home as a shelter several times till people could get on their feet

In a few cases the f****rs watched TV all day …

In others they got their s**t together

But all probably never would have left had i not motivated them …

Btw i myself have been homeless 4 times in my life and four times i got my own s**t together because …being a white male, you’re on your own …

And that’s racist …..«

My response to “Someone”: I can relate to your experiences with helping people who are down and out. Here is one of our latest experiences.

My wife and I had leased the land of our farm to a good renter who is looking after it well.

In 2004 we left the house and the yard. Those are (were) serviced with power, two wells, telephone, satellite dish, septic-tank and -field, barns, machine shed, double garage, driveway, situated on 5 acres of land, all fenced. We moved into an older home in town, nearby, about 30 years old, but newer than most of the buildings at our farm. The house there was the oldest, it had been built in 1946, the garage in 1951, but all things were well there, functioning, in reasonable state of repair, not quite up to standard anymore but good.

We had lived there in comfort, ever since I had bought the place in 1973. Visitors complimented us. Jehovah’s witnesses who came to visit said, “It’s wonderful here. You have a lot to be grateful for.” I usually replied, “Yes, and I know how much work it took to make it what it is. If you wish to see what we had for starters, let’s go. I’ll take you to the back-40s.” None of them ever took me up on that (apparently because they did not wish to be reminded that natural resources are a gift of God, but that to improve them requires work, in this case work by humans), while other people who had been visiting when we still lived there told us, years after our our renters had moved in, kept telling us, that now, “The place doesn’t look anymore as good as did when you lived there, and it’s looking worse the more time goes by.” They told us much more and made comparisons to the circumstances of living conditions in localities that I am not permitted to mention, but I agree, our place was becoming an ever worsening blemish on the face of the neighbourhood.

Someone we know in our small community of 1,500 people had asked if we could help him out and let him, his wife and their young daughter live in the house and yard we had vacated. We agreed that they could, that we would sell the place to them (I had made him an offer that was available only to him that took into account half of the compounded inflation rate per the annual consumer price index and would not follow the enormously escalating prices of real estate. We agreed on that the rent would be $250 a month (plus annual increases to account for inflation), plus whatever they would use for power. That amount of rent was one third of the rent for a serviced lot in town large enough for a mobile home. They were supposed to and agreed to do all upkeep and repair, as the rent we charged them did not even cover the rent for just an unserviced parcel of land that size.

He was on a disability income but rode a Harley. Both, he and his wife, had smart phones. She had a part-time clerical job in the nearby city of Edmonton, making sure that she never worked enough hours to cause her husband to lose his disability income, but he augmented his income by storing cars and other vehicles, doing a bit of automotive-salvage work, wheeling and dealing and selling some other stuff I don’t want to go into. Still, officially, their family income was below the poverty line.

We had hoped that having a chance at owning a piece of property would help them to move into the right direction and to make something out of themselves.  What was happening on the property we leased to our renters was abuse of our charity.

The rent and power were always paid on time, but I noticed about three years ago that the power bills escalated and were eventually triple of what they had been. I checked to see whether something was wrong with the power meter. The power company had told me that it would be a good idea to do that (they usually take increased power consumption as a sign of a grow-op, and I know all about that, because I had been for decades on their board of directors, but there could also other causes, such as faulty wiring anywhere in the yard).

There was nothing wrong with the power meter or any wiring, but the few RVs, trailers and trucks-and-campers that had been accumulating had increased in number to comprise a small village. He explained what they were all for: one for his mother-in-law, one for his daughter, one for his wife and him, and so on. There were enough of them to accommodate most of his considerable clan and then some more. A good number of them were connected to power, with cables that were snaking through the grass.

There was a construction boom in the oil industry at the time. Accommodations for workers were in short supply.  Our charity was being abused, it was being exploited.

I told him that subletting to anyone was not part of our rental agreement and that the trailers and various other accommodations had to go (most were gone after a week). I also told him (last year) that I would have to increase the rent for the place to $500 a month.  (They were only paying $250 a month up to that point.)  He of course complained, whereupon I told him that I was paying the taxes (more than twice than what they had been when they had moved in), that rents everywhere had risen, and that they were still getting a good bargain. (Keep in mind that they had never made an offer to buy the place.  (And why would they? Why buy the cow when you can get the milk for free?)  They had begun an addition to the house, did not finish it, and had cancelled the construction permit in the same year that they had obtained it.

They paid the increased rent for about half a year, found another place, even more secluded than what they had been renting from us, and stopped paying rent and power to us.  We gave them notice.  It took us six month to get them off our place. They moved their stuff to the place they had found (the house there had been condemned a few years ago, apparently after it had been the target of a drug raid by the police and was found to have been used for a grow-op). They hauled truckload after truckload of debris from there and dumped it in the middle of the property they had been renting from us. (Talk about renters crapping on the living room carpet when they abscond!  Some do it by the truckload.)

They demanded that we pay them more than a hundred thousand in compensation and left without paying the rent for the last six months as well as not paying the power for seven months.

The judge dismissed their claim for compensation and ordered them to pay $3,500 in outstanding rent and power. After the court case, they and some of their relatives who had been at the final court hearing went to the local bar, revelling and high-fiving, “We won!”  What they had won was a court decision that ordered them to pay us $3,500.

It is now getting close to a year after they left, and they did not pay a dime on their debt they were ordered to pay.  That is abuse of charity, elder abuse, and they celebrated it yet!

No repair or upkeep was done to our property, the 100′ x 100′ garden that we had is a wilderness. The house no longer has a kitchen counter, no kitchen sink, no fridge, no stove, no source of heat and no shower cabinet. The sump pump in the basement (keeping the basement dry in wet years, of which there is one now and then) had vanished and so had the satellite dish. The building addition they had stopped construction on in 2006 leaks every time it rains or the snow melts and would take more than $60,000 to finish and to make livable, except that would still not stop the water running off into the addition and flooding the floor of it. We have to write everything off and hope that the county administration will not come after us to have all of it demolished.

That is just one of our experiences with people whose official income is below the poverty line. I won’t bore you with any of the others, of which one set us back by more than $200,000 that we will not be able to recover and that put us into poverty.

My wife and I are in our eighties, and I need some of my teeth fixed, which is the most pressing problem I face right now, as some of those teeth hurt every day. I can’t even afford to have them pulled, let alone buy a set of dentures, but I am waiting for Marsha to make me feel better about all of that by asserting, “You have never volunteered at a homeless shelter have you.”

Certainly, we can sell some of the property we own, to solve our cash-flow problems, but that would deprive our children, grandchildren and great-grandchildren of what we hoped we would be able to pass on to them.  The reality of that is that charity hurts.  Charity hurts a lot of people.  The hurting ripples through all of society.  The hurting caused by charity has many sources.  Many sources of pain caused charity cause many ripples.

That is exactly the problem that poverty poses to governments and their role in creating a massive mountain of debt that is left to those who come after us and are left holding nothing but the empty bag and must face that ever-growing mountain of debt. They will never be able to pay off that debt.  (Contemplate the national debt clock shown here, and keep in mind that millions of problems such as those described here are not even part of the running total.  See National Debt Clocks for current figures; links to figures for 52 countries that all are labouring to get out of the holes they dug for themselves, or are they?)

That is the problem with letting socialism drive things. Socialism transfers incomes and assets from those who have them to those who are said to be in need. That works until socialism runs out of other people’s money, and then the debts pile up. Socialism works a while longer, until there are no longer enough people able to keep up with financing those mounting debts, regardless of whether they are willing or not.

What happens then?

Posted in Corruption, Economy | Leave a comment

Population control holocaust? Family courts participate

To compare the “population control holocaust,” or the havoc that family courts wreak on families, to the Holocaust pursued by the Hitler regime evokes images that don’t ring true.  It is a logical absurdity to compare the pain caused by family courts to the harm done by the Holocaust, founded in at least two logical fallacies of the type “non sequitur” (it does not follow) and “reductio et absurdum” (disproof of a proposition by showing an absurdity to which it leads when carried to its logical conclusion).  Yet, many individuals routinely make that comparison and equate the two, but such a comparison should never be made, regardless of what other calamity or atrocity is being used in it.

That comparison can of course be made, but the one thing cannot be equated to the other. They are two different things, in nature, in size and in extent. They are even different on the level of impact to individuals.

  • One involved the wish to solve “the Jewish question,” by neutralizing, exploiting, enslaving and even the killing of a whole race of people who lived in one nation or in the territories occupied by that nation. That nation was neither the first nor the last throughout history to attempt doing that. For example: Babylon did; the Romans did and caused the great Jewish dispersion; parts of Europe did during much of the Middle Ages, and then it was done again by the Hitler regime during modern times. Yet, the Jews are still around, as is the Hebrew religion and much of the Jewish culture, and that is good.  Nevertheless, even today, in spite of the Hitler regime having been destroyed and still being vilified for what it had done to the Jews. Still, the ancient hatred against the Jews is still being nurtured and promoted in many nations.
  • The other involves all of civilization, all of humanity, by dismantling the institution of the traditional nuclear family – the foundation and building blocks out of which communities, tribes, villages, nations and even all of civilization grew, with the objective of that being to achieve:1.) The deconstruction of civilization and its reconstruction into a global, socialist, totalitarian regime, and
    2.).The reduction of the size of the global human population down to about a billion to 300 million people.

No nation has a monopoly on the population control holocaust or on the role that family courts play in it, but population control affects all nations on Earth.  Family courts are agents that operate within the scope of the population control holocaust, they are a part of it.  They operate in most developed nations but not in all nations on Earth.  The larger scope of the population control holocaust, in which family courts play their role only in some localities, affects every single nation on Earth to varying extents and most severely in all developed nations.

All developed nations have begun the end phase of their desired decline.  When a nation’s shrinking population is being bolstered through large-scale immigration, it will no longer be what it was, no more so than an axe is still the original axe after it has had its handle and its head replaced as those broke and wore out, respectively.

The population control holocaust is not a unique national objective, process, project or program. It is being promoted by a relatively small group of like-minded individuals and organizations of no specific national character but united by the common objectives I mentioned above, people with power and wealth (through owning or having access to and influence on wealth and power).

It is neither a conspiracy nor driven by a hidden agenda, as it is not a secret but in plain sight, and the objectives and methods for it are being openly promoted, implemented and applied. People with absolute power have no need to conspire. They just do what they wish to do and to have done, and they achieve it.

Call it the New World Order or anything else you want, it is still the same, but it is not the same as the Holocaust. It has vastly different goals, dimensions and outcomes.  To compare it to the Holocaust belittles it.  To compare the suffering of the individuals targeted by it would understate the suffering caused by it to individuals, but it would overstate how bad it makes them feel.  No one is likely to truly feel the pain of not being able to experience what he never had or to miss what he has become indoctrinated not to be able to appreciate is his human right to have a family and to be an integral part of it but to want to forego it, even to hate it, to be made to see being deprived of it as a blessing and a desired state of existence. That makes “humane” forms of the population control holocaust in the “free” developed nations enormously insidious.

Yet, although the methods and objectives are always the same, there are differences in the methods applied and the forces driving them. For example, take the absolute, brutal government force with which China implemented its “one-child policy,” aside from the fact that it never was a one child policy in China’s rural circumstances (a limit of two children per family applied, whereas urban areas had the constraint of only one child per family and are permitted now to have two).

In the developed nations, more “humane” methods were used all along to achieve the same end, through a combination of things: indoctrination, peer pressure; punitive taxation of families with children and two parents but only one income earner; through voluntary but taxpayer-funded sterilization and abortions, and much more, not the least of which were programs that made the yearning of people to have families politically incorrect and gave us “no fault” divorce.

Consequence of the population control holocaust: Total Fertility Rate Trends - Angola, China Germany

Total Fertility Rate Trends in
Angola, China, Germany

Those “humane” measures that people were made to begin to clamor for had a fine effect in the developed nations. The latter’s total fertility rates fell below that of China (the “free” developed nations had the jump on China, with respect to low TFRs), without any government ever acquiring the bad reputation of having used brute force to make them happen. The governments are being loved for it, because they gave the people what the people wanted! That is very slick and demonstrably more effective than brute government force, although China’s totalitarian methods were motivated by the very ideological objective that motivated all other developed nations to engage in a competition as to which nation could reduce its population the fastest and the most. China made source documents from the West that summarized it – published by the Club of Rome – the foundation of its brutal population-control measures, and USAID financed much of China’s population control holocaust that was the result.  The progression of the decline in its total fertility rate reflects the time line of what Robert Zubrin describes in the article from which the following it quoted.

»China

In June 1978, Song Jian, a top-level manager in charge of developing control systems for the Chinese guided-missile program, traveled to Helsinki for an international conference on control system theory and design. While in Finland, he picked up copies of The Limits to Growth and Blueprint for Survival — publications of the Club of Rome, a major source of Malthusian propaganda — and made the acquaintance of several Europeans who were promoting the reports’ method of using computerized “systems analysis” to predict and design the human future.

Fascinated by the possibilities, Song returned to China and republished the Club’s analysis under his own name (without attribution), establishing his reputation for brilliant and original thinking….. In no time at all, Song became a scientific superstar.

Song proposed that China’s rulers set a limit of one child per family, effective immediately. Deng Xiaoping liked what Song had to say, so those who might have had the power to resist the one-child policy were quick to protect themselves by lining up in support….

Thus began the most forceful population control program since Nazi Germany….«

Quoted from: The Population Control Holocaust, by Robert Zubrin

Except that China’s brutal population control program, horrible and totalitarian as it was and still is (although it is being relaxed a bit now), was not at all an attempt to bring about the genocide of a large sector of a people as was the Holocaust pursued by the Hitler regime.

At the same time, no one being made to suffer the consequences from any of those population control measures was ever thrown into a concentration camp, to become a member of a large pool of slave labour that a government used for gain, re-education or for profit from contracting it out (well, except for vocal objectors, in countries such as the USSR and China), no matter whether any of them tattooed numbers on their arms or not.

Most people afflicted by the population control holocaust are totally unaware of what is being done to them or that what they experience is part of a greater scheme to harm them. A few, such as the Jewish woman mentioned by someone who said that the woman had tattooed her court docket number on her arm, to demonstrate that a Jewish woman was once more being made a target of a holocaust, experienced the pain of it because of something that not even the Hitler regime routinely engaged in, a massively escalating trade in children.  With fewer people having children, and with fewer children being born, the demand – by prospective parents who are infertile by nature or choice – to adopt other people’s children is growing proportionately.

It does not follow that all victims of the family-court “holocaust” are Jewish, the vast majority of them is not.  Still, the Jewish woman had her child ripped from her for profit. The more painful the ripping is made for millions of parents, the more the legal industry profits from the ripping.  The longer the process of the ripping is stretched, the bigger the profits to be made, aside from the advantage that one malicious parent may gain over the other by being granted ownership and control of a child, thereby securing a steady and copious income stream (provided the mother is the one who acquired kids, car cash and castle – mothers must rarely pay child support; they pay only a small fraction of what fathers are being made to pay, and they virtually always default without impunity on paying most or all of it). Often the child will not even wind up in the hands of either parent, such as when it is being adopted, which provides further profits for the legal industry and its adjuncts.  There is a fortune to be made in that.

The adoption business experienced a boom that puts Hitler’s Lebensborn program to shame, but, never fear, that boom is happening in “free” developed nations, not in totalitarian ones.  “Free” choice is good, therefore all is good, but what a choice!  What is free about it?  What is so free about any of the choices people make within the scope of the population control holocaust?  Their “freedom to choose” is about a free as is the “free” choice someone makes to get a move on when his pants our his house were set on fire.

All of that intensifies the effectiveness and consequences of the “humane” methods used in the “free” developed nations to discourage people from having children. It serves to convince hundreds of millions of people, that to have children and families is as risky as playing Russian roulette with every second chamber loaded.

Will the drive to import immigrants  in unprecedented numbers from underdeveloped nations put an end to the downward trend in birth rates?  That depends on what the immigrants have to say about it.  Furthermore, they bolster the declining numbers of young consumers in the developed nations (the old and the elderly do not buy many consumer products anymore) which is surely one of the main reasons why the demand for immigrants is so high.  They have far more money to spend than they did in their countries of origin, and they now have access to consumer goods they previously only dreamed of.  One way or another, they will consume, they crave it, and they are eager to consume.
________
Walter H. Schneider, Bruderheim, 2017 12 24

Posted in Health, Maternal Rights, Paternal Rights, Population Control, Propaganda Exposed, Social-Destruction Enterprise | 1 Comment

FB censorship, threat of, causes concern

FB censorship exists, it happens, and its direction and methods should concern us.  It makes me wonder and a bit apprehensive, but of the relatively infrequent announcements and advisories that FB addresses to me now and then, there was one I read this morning. I did not copy it, but I remember some of what it contained, a hint, a faint impression of a threat of censorship.  It made me feel apprehensive and confused.  I have no idea why FB sent me what appears to be a reminder.  Checking the FB Community Standards against what I have been trying to do all along is no help.  I checked them before and now again, and I cannot figure out why I received what seems a nudge, a poke, a suggestion that I am treading on dangerous grounds. leaving me confused.  Was the poke a result of something I wrote?  Did I come close to violating the boundaries of proper FB behaviour?

FB told me that it is always concerned that every member of the FB community has good experiences and suggested that I visit the FB community standards to be able to appreciate its efforts to that extent and what those standards are.  It did not allude to anything I had done, while the implication was that I had committed an offence.

FB Censorship Community Standards

FB Censorship Community Standards

There are many forms of FB censorship, such as that all of my FB postings are for public consumption, marked as such, but yet, when they are being read by the intended parties, the members of the general FB public, they don’t at times show a <Share> button.  That  will discourage most people from sharing them, even though they fully agree or (more rarely) disagree with what the posting brings to their attention.  Copy-and-paste commands are more inconvenient than to point the cursor to and to click on <Share>.

There have been postings I made that not everyone else will see, and not necessarily on account of their privacy settings.  There is one of the ultimate forms of FB censorship, the “FB censorship jail”, into which someone may be and at times is being put for making offensive postings.  What lands any offender in “FB censorship jail” cannot be discerned.  There is an obvious disconnect between what the FB censors decide and what the FB community standards specify the FB clients are supposed to be following.

It is not necessarily a vile posting that causes someone to land in “FB censorship jail”.  A lot of those come across the screen of my PC, containing extremely offensive language, even awfully pornographic content or extremely derogatory and abusive statements concerning lawfully and democratically elected politicians.  Those do not necessarily trigger FB censorship, while postings displaying a lack of sensitivities concerning political correctness may.  It appears that assertions matter.  The objective truth does not, by far, matter as much to the FB censorship algorithms as does whether something is politically incorrect, especially when anyone asserts in writing to FB censorship operators that he was offended by what he read or saw in a posting, largely regardless of what actually was in it.  The alleged perception of that someone was or possibly could be offended appears to be a trigger of FB censorship, not so much whether an offence actually occurred.

FB censorship protects against reality?  Whose reality?

FB censorship protects against reality? Whose reality? 
What do the FB Community Standards promote?
Is gender confusion desired? I common sense out, and second-guessing the unfathomable, capricious perception of FB censors in?
Anything but traditional ethics and standards…? Who knows?

What I read between those lines of the FB advisory that FB addressed to me is not anything that FB put there but merely a creation of my imagination, leaving me slightly puzzled. It was not said in that announcement or advisory that I had been threatened with censorship, and it surely is a creation of my imagination that I had been threatened with that after having made a few postings on my timeline yesterday, 2017 12 22.

The FB advisory suggested that I look up the FB community standards, standards that exist, apparently, to ensure that every member of the FB community will have pleasant experiences. It appears that FB and I form a good relationship. I see nothing in those FB community standards that indicates otherwise, which makes me happy. It makes me happy to see that my efforts in that direction have been good ones, and that the apprehension I felt upon reading the FB suggestion this morning must have been a baseless consequence of the figments of my imagination.  Still, what I feel is necessary obviously is less important than what inscrutable FB censorship operators decide applies.

I am glad that FB’s community standards do not rule out (not even when I read between the lines) honesty, corroborating of observations with facts, and plain old objectivity, and I am sure that no one can fault me of making a habit of offending the standards prescribed for credibility in journalism, the five Ws that stand for Who, What, Where, When, and Why.  Is it possible to be objective about the truth without being on the side of the truth?  The FB censors will not state whether that is permissible, but they do demand that nothing must ever offend anyone in the FB community.  Unfortunately, that then becomes a very grave handicap for any proponent of the objective truth, and a big advantage for what is politically correct.

Many FB postings I see do not adhere as intensely to absolute standards for the truth, whereupon at times I exercise my duty and the right to freedom of expression and refrain from passing those examples of poor taste and lack of common decency (except in extremely rare cases, to illustrate obnoxious excesses) on to anyone else. After all, again reading between the lines, I have the impression that it is an enormously difficult task for FB to ride herd on so much information being exchanged by so many people, and FB most certainly needs some help with that. Nothing is perfect, and not even FB can be, but FB most certainly tries. FB deserves much credit for that.

I am happy to be able to help out with making the FB experience a good one for all members of the FB community, safe in the knowledge that FB will never force any of its clients to partake of anything those don’t wish to be offended by, simply by allowing them to ignore anything they freely chose to ignore, through nothing more demanding than at most to point and click a mouse.  Nevertheless, FB seems to be creating an undercurrent that will carry all of its clientele into the direction of political correctness, furthermore making sure of the best speed at which that will happen, by assuming that the FB clientele comprise minor children who cannot decide what is good for them.

Without a doubt, there are some people now and then who are easily offended by the truth and insist on their right to express their allegation of being offended, even outraged by it. Some may go so far as to block the ostensible offender or even to complain about him. Never fear, FB cares so much about making the FB experience a good one, that it not only permits freedom of expression for extremely vile postings but it must surely adhere to the constitutional right of everyone to be assumed innocent until proven guilty.

A truly democratic forum, where freedom of expression governs, public opinion decides in the end not necessarily what is right but what is acceptable, whereas censorship by an overbearing superpower will counteract and destroy freedom of expression on the forum it created and provided.  Surely the FB powers know that, and that to act against that standard of freedom of expression will easily make the FB venue a very powerful tool for indoctrinating potentially billions of people to become politically correct.

Posted in Censorship, Social-Destruction Enterprise, The New World Order | Leave a comment

Surgical Fires — Calling Doctor Semmelweis

Dr. Semmelweis is no longer with us, surgical fires are. Laser surgery is at times the source of ignition of fires in operating rooms.  Laser surgery and Dr. Semmelweis’ efforts had and still have similar consequences, good and bad ones.  They save lives, quite a few on account of laser surgery, but vastly more, perhaps as many as or more than half a billion in the case of Dr. Semmelweis’ efforts.  Unfortunately, they also caused and cause injury and death, very rarely in the case of laser surgery, perhaps never in the case of Dr. Semmelweis but once.  What he discovered killed him.  It made him a martyr who died for what proved to be one of the greatest discoveries in medical history.

Ignaz Philipp Semmelweis (July 1, 1818 – August 13, 1865) is no longer with us. He is not even remembered much for what he did for women, families and humanity. It is unfathomable why he is no longer remembered much, but perhaps that is because the feminists – with their virtually absolute control of what is being recorded in written history – had collectively decided that Dr. Semmelweis did not deserve being remembered for what he did for women, that he should be dissed for who he was and is, a member of the Club of Dead White Men (CDWM).

Perhaps the feminists decided that, instead, one of Dr. Semmelweis’ contemporaries, one from the feminists’ ranks, a member of the CDWW (Club of Dead White Women, auxiliary of the CDWM) should be remembered for who she was and what she did. Who knows, and what difference does it make? It only matters that now the world (at least the parts under the influence of ‘herstory’) eagerly chose the name and fame of the selected and to-be-promoted member of the CDWW that considered to be in need of promoting.

Oh, you don’t know who that woman was?

»Florence NightingaleOMRRCDStJ (/ˈflɒrəns ˈntɪŋɡl/; 12 May 1820 – 13 August 1910) was an English social reformer [that is in this case a euphemism for feminist —WHS] and statistician, and the founder of modern nursing.

Nightingale came to prominence while serving as a manager of nurses trained by her during the Crimean War, where she organised the tending to wounded soldiers.[3] She gave nursing a highly favourable reputation and became an icon of Victorian culture, especially in the persona of “The Lady with the Lamp” making rounds of wounded soldiers at night.[4][5]

While recent commentators have asserted Nightingale’s achievements in the Crimean War were exaggerated by the media at the time, critics agree on the decisive importance of her follow-up achievements in professionalising nursing roles for women.[6….«
More: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florence_Nightingale

Wikipedia states about Dr. Semmelweis,

»Ignaz Philipp Semmelweis[Note 1] (German: [ɪˈɡnaːts ˈzɛml̩vaɪs]HungarianSemmelweis Ignác Fülöp; 1 July 1818 – 13 August 1865) was a Hungarian physician of ethnic-Germanancestry,[2][3][4] now known as an early pioneer of antiseptic procedures. Described as the “saviour of mothers”,[2] Semmelweis discovered that the incidence of puerperal fever (also known as “childbed fever”) could be drastically cut by the use of hand disinfection in obstetricalclinics. Puerperal fever was common in mid-19th-century hospitals and often fatal. Semmelweis proposed the practice of washing hands with chlorinated lime solutions in 1847 while working in Vienna General Hospital‘s First Obstetrical Clinic, where doctors’ wards had three times the mortality of midwives’ wards.[5] He published a book of his findings in Etiology, Concept and Prophylaxis of Childbed Fever.

Despite various publications of results where hand washing reduced mortality to below 1%, Semmelweis’s observations conflicted with the established scientific and medical opinions of the time and his ideas were rejected by the medical community. Semmelweis could offer no acceptable scientific explanation for his findings, and some doctors were offended at the suggestion that they should wash their hands. Semmelweis’s practice earned widespread acceptance only years after his death, when Louis Pasteur confirmed the germ theory and Joseph Lister, acting on the French microbiologist‘s research, practiced and operated, using hygienic methods, with great success. In 1865, Semmelweis was committed to an asylum, where he died at age 47 of pyaemia, after being beaten by the guards, only 14 days after he was committed….«
More: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignaz_Semmelweis

I recommend the reading of Dr. Semmelweis’ biography at the website dedicated to it.  It states,

»Semmelweis introduced hand washing with chlorinated lime solutions for interns who had performed autopsies. This immediately reduced the incidence of fatal puerperal fever from about 10 percent (range 5–30 percent) to about 1–2 percent.«

Let’s see. About as many women gave birth to children each year then as do now. There were fewer women then, but they gave birth about four to six times as often per year than do today’s women. Roughly 70 million children were born each year then, and roughly just as many are being born each year now.

Dr. Semmelweis’ findings and recommendations for hygienic practices when attending child births, notwithstanding additional refinements by other members of the CDWM, spread throughout the medical community and practitioners of midwifery of the world and soon came to spare the lives of perhaps four to six million women each year.

That is no mean feat. Surely it measures up to the value, worth and appreciation of the legacy created by Florence Nightingale, whether that is exaggerated by her supporters and fanciers or not.

Was it fair that Dr. Semmelweis was beaten to death by the guards in the asylum into which he was thrown for daring to be right but politically incorrect?

Was it fair that Florence Nightingale was being lionized for her attempts to contribute to the health and comforts of mankind, even though it may at best have been of equal worth as that of Dr. Semmelweis’ contribution?

Can the difference in outcomes of their respective personal fortunes be considered to be an unavoidable consequence of despicable and justifiably-vilified oppression of women by the big bad patriarchy? It is more logically a manifestation of not only female superiority but of female supremacy. Nevertheless, today’s women live on average about ten percent longer lives than men do and are considered, by male and female feminists alike, to be the victims of men’s oppression.  Go figure, but that is one of the aspects of female supremacy.

There is another contemporary of Florence Nightingale, Henry Dunant.

He most definitely got what he deserved.  He received the first Nobel Peace Prize and much respect and fame for his important contribution to improving humanity’s health and comfort, and he should have, as there is no doubt that his contributions were far greater and outrank, by far, those made by Florence Nightingale. Why do I even bore anyone with mentioning that? Everyone knows what Henry Dunant did and what he brought about, right?……

Nevertheless, even when Henry Dunant, the founder of the International Red Cross and what it stands for, is brought to bear in that comparison, the public’s interest in Florence Nightingale, someone who was in comparison a union organizer who gave British nurses professional status, outranks public concern over surgical fires and for Dr,Semmelweis and Henry Dunant, thanks to female supremacy.

Times are changing, … Fast forward…. and now they are better, more just, more equitable and, believe it or not, “more equal” for women.  At least, that is what I take away from this article published by the National Post (2017 12 18), describing the rewards to be had for the medical profession’s failure to deliver good quality and safety of service:

National Post 
NEWS
Doctors’ association warns of surgical patients suddenly catching fire
The last thing anyone would expect when they go into surgery is to catch fire: ‘Oops!’ is clearly insufficient’

That article mentions instances selected out of 54 incidents of surgical fires covered by the indicated review. It does not mention how big a portion of all surgical fires that occurred the 54 incidents examined represents, but it provides an estimate of that number:

“Patient safety experts say that, if 54 cases made it to litigation at the CMPA, there were at least 10 times as many cases nationally, perhaps more.”

How many more? No one said, and the article didn’t either. Still, I read it with interest, such as this incident,

»In the U. S, as many as 650 operating room fires are reported in each year, but the true number is likely higher because half of the states don’t have mandatory reporting.

“What can you say to a patient having a skin lesion excised under monitored anesthesia care ( MAC) who suffers severe burns to the neck and face from a surgical-site fire caused by unnecessary supplemental nasal cannula oxygen leaking under drapes and towels into the surgical field where electrocautery was used? ‘ Oops!’ is clearly insufficient,” Dr. John Eichhorn, of the University of Kentucky College of Medicine and Medical Center wrote in 2013 in an editorial in the journal Anesthesiology.

Two years ago, a Seattle woman was awarded $ 30 million in damages when, similar to the Canadian case, an endotracheal tube caught fire inside her throat during surgery for polyps on her vocal cords. She’s now unable to speak or breathe on her own.«

Those 54 incidents of surgical fires mentioned in the article by the National Post, about a tenth or perhaps less of all surgical fires that occurred lately in Canada, are being made more spectacular than they are significant.  They are not even the tip of the iceberg of all fatalities caused by medical services in a single year.

Perhaps “Gender preferences in the ethical and equitable settlements of damage claims due to surgical fires” would be a good subject for a master’s thesis in hospital administration, but I wonder why the job-safety standards are so low and apparently not being monitored well enough to cause that many fires to happen. I wonder even more whether any of the settlements due to failure of job-safety standards and their monitoring received by men injured on the job ever were that high and how high they are on average compared to those awarded to women under comparable circumstances.

It would not take all that long to analyze those cases. At least those injuries happen by far not as often with women as they do with men on the job. Men’s job fatalities happen about 18 to 19 times more often than women’s job fatalities.

Most people work, but not all people do. Relatively fewer people go fishing or hunting, and far larger numbers of people don’t. Almost everyone spends at least some time being in the hospital, many for surgeries, and virtually no one, ever, escapes being in the hospital at least once, when he is being born.

There are severe sentences for those who fish out of season, for hunting without a licence or in the wrong zone or, heaven forbid, even for fishing for trout with a worm instead of a fly. A sentence for the latter offence, say, 14 days in jail, is often far more severe than those routinely handed down to women who killed their children or the fathers of their children.

Were there ever any such sentences for any employer who caused the death or disabling injury of one of his employees, by forcing him to work under conditions that did not meet job-safety standards? Were any of the operators in the medical industry ever jailed for any of the upward from 150,000 annual fatalities experienced by the victims of faulty medical practices in the U.S. and Canada? Consider causes of deaths caused through faulty practices and errors of the medical-services industry. You may think that the problem does not occur where you live, but take a look at this:

»Each year, an estimated 10,000 patients die in Canadian hospitals as a result of staff errors, while a further 20,000 die from “nonpreventable adverse events,” such as hospital infections and unexpected drug complications. Some research indicates that another 20,000, give or take, may die of unforeseen or preventable causes while under care outside hospitals.

These staggering figures are extrapolated from data collected in the United States, Britain and Australia, but are widely accepted as reasonable approximations. In 1999 the U.S. Institute of Medicine estimated that up to 98,000 Americans a year die in hospital due to medical errors, and another million are injured. A 2000 study found that adverse events cause patient harm in ten percent of hospital admissions in Britain, amounting to 850,000 times a year.«
Tragedy of Errors, Reader’s Digest, Canadian Edition, Dec. 2003, p. 76 (Originally published Dec.30, 2002 in MacLean’s)

In case you have trouble doing the addition of the numbers, that adds up to about 50,000 fatalities a year that are caused by the Canadian health care system. Obviously, the situation in the U.S. is very similar.If you are concerned, as eventually you too will be at risk (if you are not already), there is more about all of that here: “Neglected to Death“.

When our attention is drawn to just one issue, just one specific sort of failing of the medical industry that puts human lives at risk, that will draw our attention away from that there are many more of those failings, from that many of those are more prevalent and far more often deadly. Intended or not, the fear of death by surgical fire evokes as much or more empathy and compassion than do more than 150,000 fatalities each year in the U.S. and Canada from other forms of medical neglect, errors, maltreatment and neglect.

We must make choices, but the choices we make are being influenced by the self interests of the media and a host of interested parties, groups, organizations and individuals. Those interested parties are involved in an intense competition for the stimulation of our compassion and to point it into the right direction, designed to make us willing to part with as much from our financial resources as we can possibly spare, so that they can make a living and create wealth and power for themselves. As of now, that works well.

The producers and promoters of cat food and dog food hold much greater sway over what the masses spend their money on than do the parties that try to make the masses aware of that medical services operate neither with maximum efficiency nor with maximum concern for the safety of human lives. That is how the priorities will remain for those respective issues, for as long as ever-increasing numbers of people would rather have cats and dogs than children.

Are surgical fires as important as is the UN's vision of the future world population

The UN’s vision of the future world population

Our emotions and fundamental desires have become resources to be exploited for a variety of goals, of which some rank very high on the priority list, for example: population control to achieve population reduction. China brought that about through brute force. The application of the full force of a totalitarian regime to that end is seen by most as inhumane. More humane methods are not only much more appealing but far more effective, such as the creation of a preference for cats and dogs over procreating and over having one’s own children to care for, to love and to raise.

Are surgical fires as important as are Total Fertility Rate Trends? (e. g.: in Angola, China Germany)

Total Fertility Rate Trends
Angola, China Germany

The perception of the exercise of “free will” and “freedom of choice” caused the Western developed nations to become far more effective than China was in bringing about population reduction. Not much force was needed to bring that about in the West, nothing more than a bit of peer pressure and punitive taxation for families with children, two parents, and only one income earner.  Such punitive taxation is a routine ploy for exerting downward pressure on birth rates, somewhat counteracted by promoting single-parent families on welfare whose incomes increase the more children they have, while the non-resident fathers are being taxed heavily for daring to “father” children.  All it took was to motivate people to make the “right” choices and making them believe that they made them freely.

What would Dr. Semmelweis, Henry Dunant and Florence Nightingale say about all of that? How do the compassion and the drive for giving migrants from underdeveloped nations longer lives of better quality fit the goal of reducing the world population? Perhaps that is just the start of a massive re-education program designed to wean migrants from their urge to have children of their own and, instead, to make them, too, appreciate and cultivate a preference for cats and dogs.

All of that leaves one to wonder why surgical fires are an issue worth paying much attention to, when far more important failings of the medical industry receive little or hardly any attention.  Is that by popular demand, and is that, in turn, driven by the will of the people or by the will of some other interested parties?

Posted in Censorship, Education, Feminism, History, Marriage, Media Bias, Population Control, Propaganda Exposed, Single-Parent, Things men do | Comments Off on Surgical Fires — Calling Doctor Semmelweis

Falling birth rates cause painful demographic changes

Falling birth rates do not cause a given population to die out 70 years later, despite some people’s insistence that they will do so, but they will – at times noticeably – affect most or even all demographic factors of concern and how they will change (most often to the worse) in the future.

Falling birth rates are not necessarily the cause of detrimental demographic consequences, IF they are the consequence of wealth, and IF a nation can afford to live with that consequence.  If a nation cannot afford to live with falling birth rates, low birth rates will be the cause of its demise.   It would be suicidal for that nation to curtail or promote the curtailing of it births, when that will cause the workforce in the years to come to be insufficient for the work that will be demanded of it.  Never cause a workforce to shrink when the work that must be done in the years to come will grow considerably larger and a much larger workforce will be required to do what is necessary.  There are ways to prevent that from happening, as long as whatever is being done will the members of the workforce employed, and as long as nothing is being done to cause a lot of unemployment, with the unemployed being added to the workload that needs to be carried by those still employed.

Automation and mechanization have liberated many people from onerous work.  Much work and many more work processes will be done by machines in the years to come.  The concern must be not so much that people doing work will be liberated from having to work, when machines do their work, but that those people will no longer have jobs.  The people who are still working, alongside machines.  The work formerly done by people who are now unemployed is still being done, perhaps faster, cheaper and better, but those unemployed people used to be heavy-duty consumers, and now they no longer have enough money to spend to consume as much as they did, and the machines doing the work that they formerly did are not consumers of consumer goods.

Beyond the basic and barest necessities, fewer income earners will consume fewer consumer goods.  When there is a very large number of unemployed, the economy will feel the pinch and go into a recession.  Curtailing the number of births will not do anything to change that,  not for at least another 20 years have gone by, and not until the horde of the unemployed that exists all along will see no further novice join its ever-swelling ranks.  All along, those who are unemployed will be come older, and every year more and more unemployed will go into “retirement”.  No curtailing of the number of births will do anything to reduce the number of people already in the pipe who will come ever closer to death, trying to live on ever shrinking retirement incomes for which fewer and fewer contributions are being made an ever-shrinking work force.

That is the problem we try to solve or prevent.  Curtailing the numbers of Births will solve that?  How can that change the number of people in the pipe that is labelled “Unemployed” and leads to retirement?  Some who go into retirement now will be retired for, say, 20 years on average.  The unemployed who come after them will be in the pipe from a year to 45 years, and they will keep coming for that long, with more of them coming.  The ranks of those who will be coming out of that pipe 45 years from now are swelling now.  They are swelling because kids who were born 20 years ago cannot find jobs now.  How will they all eat, afford housing, clothing, transportation and such?

All of that is in spite of the birth rates of all developed nations being below replacement level.  So, what sort of problem can we solve by cutting back on births ever more?  Whatever the problem people born to become unemployed cause to the economy could perhaps be solved by holding back a bit on mechanization.  Cutting back on wages will do that.  It will make us competitive on the world market and make mechanization far less attractive.  As I have seen and read, some economists have recommended that, but we cannot afford to do it, because everyone needs higher wages and higher incomes to be able to afford the luxuries they have become accustomed to and now consider to be necessities, the higher incomes and wages that make mechanization ever more attractive, causing unemployment.  Moreover, ever more unemployed need to be provided for, the numbers of the elderly are increasing, not least on account of better health care and better quality of life all around, while the taxes required to pay for their upkeep, that of the unemployed and anyone else who is on the dole keep rising.  Still, the employed workforce keeps shrinking, while the productivity of the mechanized work processes keeps rising.

It is more than a little difficult to understand how all of that will be or can possibly be alleviated by clamoring for and importing ever more immigrants.  Well, it is not being stressed much, but we need to think about what sort of jobs have not yet been mechanized and whose hands will be doing them.  We will use the immigrants for those unproductive jobs that will never be used to produce anything that can be sold on the world market. such as to house and feed the swelling numbers of the elderly, the increasing numbers of the unemployed who will also become elderly and decrepit, the immigrants who arrive and find that they become unemployed because they are unemployable, because they lack skills, technical skills and language skills.

Importing immigrants will solve the problems caused by immigrants who are on average far more likely than home-grown immigrants are to be unemployed?   How will that work?

Don’t get me wrong.  I have nothing against immigrants or immigration, provided there are jobs here that need to be filled.  I immigrated here, in 1962, and that is how things were then.  No one was allowed to come here from elsewhere, to stay, unless he had a lot of money or a lot of skills or both, and he had to be able to speak at least one of our two official languages.  That worked.  It worked well, and it did the country and the immigrants a lot of good.  Mind you, even then and even amongst the immigrants there were them already a few who figured out how to live a comfortable life of the retired without having done much or any work to earn it.  Still, virtually all immigrants were too proud to make welfare a career choice.  Besides, life on the dole was not an easy one and I had never met anyone then who thought he could get rich on it.

The birth rates are not the problem.  There is not a lot to go before they hit Zero.   Unemployed immigrants will aggravate the problems that reduced birth rates are intended to mitigate. The two solutions work against one another, much like a driver will not go very far if he stands with his whole weight on the brake and the gas pedal at once.  I am not objecting to immigration or immigrants, but I most certainly wish someone will explain why anything I stated above is wrong.

Here is a short summary of a global demographic transition model reflection global population changes, using the interplay of

birth rate – death rate = population growth rate

Here is the link to that:

The progression and outcome shown in that are always the same.  All that ever happens is that the rate of change for individual factors affecting the outcome varies, with the  extent of change to a rate change depending on a combination local, regional, international and global circumstances and the extent of political will.  Note that the discussion focuses on a global demographic transition model, and that therefore massive population transfers through migration are not addressed, meaning that the sum total of emigration and immigration cancels out and should be ignored.  However, massive population transfers through migration will nevertheless have impacts on regional characteristics and on regional differences between those characteristics.  To what extent local and regional impacts of those changes affect the global rate of changing demographic trends is not addressed by the presentation.

Drew Grover deserves credit for mentioning that in the introduction to his presentation, but ideologues pushing for zero population growth, reduction of the world population down to between 300 million and a billion, for birth rates that are way below replacement levels, and for other population control measures rarely, if ever, do.  After all, it would never do to stress that it is hoped that the promotion of international, massive population transfers is a method for global population control.

It is quite likely that the powers hope and have reason to believe that migration in large numbers from  countries or regions with very high birth rates to countries with very low and essentially fatally low birth rates will convert those who have no choice but to use their children as social safety nets to the sort of people who love to have the government take over the provisioning of social safety nets and incomes to be derived therefrom.  That may then convince them that it is better for personal comfort to integrate into the social standards of the Western culture and to begin to prefer to devote their love and attention to cats and dogs instead of having, loving and raising their own children.

One problem with that is that such government generosity not only causes governments to run out of their people’s money but will ensure with a vengeance that the governments will also run out of people, thereby causing the demise of nations to progress at an accelerating rate.

The following table and the graphics that are shown farther down show some of the numbers that are of interest to people who worry about demographic trends.  They show comparisons between Angola (which has currently the highest birth rate of all countries in the World) and two other countries that have some of the bottom-most lowest birth rates, Japan and Germany.  The figures and graphs are shown to illustrate that low birth rates do not spell instant death for the population of either type of country, neither for those that are said to be in danger of dying out nor for those that are ostensibly bulging at the seems to the point of bursting and falling to pieces.  Here is the table:

Birth rates and population numbers

Demographics of Decline: Low and Falling Birth Rates
Two extreme ends of the range of birth rates.
Is either extreme much to worry about?

Source: UN, http://countrymeters.info

Birth rates are of much interest to those who fear and obsess about their impact, be that whether birth rates are “too high” or “below replacement level” or even approaching zero.

  • Rising birth rates invariably cause a yearning by social engineers for zero population growth and often – as they currently do – make them promote negative population growth, that is, population reduction by any and all imaginable means.
  • Falling birth rates are just as much of interest to demographers, politicians and others in countries whose population is declining, countries whose economic health is in decline as well. Too few young people becoming productive, and there won’t be enough of them to do the necessary work to keep the economy, the infrastructure and the country’s non-productive population sector alive: the elderly, the very young, the sick and disabled, not even its unemployed and its prison population.
Falling birth rates are bad? Birth-rate comparison — Angola Vs. Japan

Demographics of Decline: Low and Falling Birth Rates
Birth-rate comparison — Angola vs. Japan

Source: Wikipedia, List of sovereign states and dependent territories by birth rate

Average life expectancies in the developed nations are substantially more than 70 years and still rising. In addition, the birth rate of a country would have to fall to zero, to cause the population of that country to completely die out a hundred years or so later. A very slight drop to just below the replacement rate will permit the country to exist essentially almost for an infinite interval of time. That is not quite true; more needs considering.

Many factors affect population growth rates, for starters,

(birth rate + immigration rate) – (death rate + emigration rate) = population growth rate

Although the interplay of those factors applies to varying extents to any instant in time, there are more complexities when making predictions of population trends. Take varying lengths of lags between cause and effect, which all vary over time, for example:

  • The average life expectancy in a population reflects the death rate in that population, but some people born there will die elsewhere.
  • The death rate in a given population will include some or most of the people born there but not those who had emigrated and died or will die elsewhere. It will include immigrants who will die there but not those immigrants who will emigrate and die elsewhere.

Not only that, but all of the factors mentioned so far vary with time and on account of various causes, and they vary differently, for example:

  • Immigrants were not born in the country they choose as the target for their migration;
  • Emigrants will not die in their country of birth. and
  • Economic conditions – living standards, peer pressure, wars, famines, natural disasters, politics (local changes as well as geographic differences) – affect birth rates, migration rates, immigration rates and death rates. Immigrants generally have higher birth rates than does the resident population of the country of their choice.
Are falling birth rates bad for countries afflicted by them? <br /> Population comparison

Demographics of Decline, Low and Falling Birth Rates
Population over time: Angola, Japan, Germany
(Japan expects its population to decline to a little less than 90 million by 2065.)

Source: UN; Angola,  Japan,  Germany

People who maintain that “Predictions are hard, especially about the future,” are quite right (no, Yogi Berra was not the one who discovered and announced that, but he did voice it).  The  farther away in time a given prediction applies, the less confidence should be put into it, because the less likely it is to turn out to be true, and the wider off the mark it will turn out to be.  Things will generally become more unpredictable when social change is not just permitted to happen, but when changes of any of the factors caused by and affecting it are being forced to change.

A look at some of the consequences caused by Japan’s low and falling birth rates show that the problems caused by the now will persist and worsen for quite some years to come.  There is no quick fix, especially because a massive increase in the net migration for Japan is so far neither desired nor feasible.  Germany, equally surprised be the equally low birth rates it began to experience, did something about the looming population calamity, to hold it off.  That did not work out well.

Germany increased its immigration rate, allowed massive numbers of immigrants from Islamic nations to migrate to Germany, and it is now experiencing escalating social conflict and turmoil, as do all European countries who opted for that solution as well.  The problem is of great and growing concern and appears to be caused by inexperience and lack of skill of population planners.  (The Sorcerer’s Apprentice tried an easy fix and suffered serious consequence because of his inexperience.)  Is there a master in the house of cards of trying to fix a birth dearth through immigration?  Does he know how to solve the problems caused by the bungling apprentice-population-planners and how to put an end to the calamity they made happen?

The numbers shown by the UN for public consumption do not indicate the whole picture and are somewhat misleading.  They show neither the massive numbers of Islamic migrants coming to Germany nor the massive numbers of people who leave Germany.  They most certainly do not show whether the people who leave Germany are Muslims who do not like it there.  The net gain is a relatively small net migration (of about 250,000 this year), not enough to appreciably bolster Germany’s population numbers. An improvement in that department is barely perceptible.  Moreover, a large portion of the new immigrants is now not merely unemployed and on the dole – thanks to the generosity of already overtaxed income earners in Germany – but many, perhaps most, of the Islamic immigrants are unemployable.  More on those issues in Mark Steyn’s analysis: The Great Brain Drain (2017 12 19)

The net-gain in population numbers in Germany was about 50,000 additional residents i 2017, at the cost of perhaps a million or more of the lately-gained immigrants living on the dole now, which most have been doing for a number of years already.  How can that be worth doing?

If changes are being forced, then the laws of unintended consequences begin to come into play, more and more.  That is because things that work reasonably well are best left alone, contrary to the assertions by people who invoke “the precautionary principle” and claim that it is better to do something than to do nothing, except that doing the wrong thing is often far worse than doing nothing.

If anything in relation to the misguided population planning and immigration directives is to be learned from history, it is this.  Where- and whenever freedom of democracy and the free market were allowed free play, the results always were: 1. Growing prosperity; 2. Better living standards; 3. Improving quality of life; 4. Better health and rising average life expectancies, and 5. Falling birth rates.

No government coercion to bring about one or the other of those five outcomes for all people ever succeeded without having to rob Peter to pay Paul and thereby harming one or more of the other outcomes.  No government ever managed to bring about improvements for all five categories of outcomes, but the symbiosis of freedom of democracy and free market principles always did, time and again.

The invoking of the precautionary principle for rationalizing the expense and effort to bring about forced change is nothing but a sign of ignorance of the beneficial interactions of the interplay of the forces of freedom of democracy and the free market.

Posted in Islamic migration, Population Control, Propaganda Exposed, Social-Destruction Enterprise | 1 Comment

Parenthood needs a village before becoming inhuman

The urge to engage in parenthood is a human desire driven by many things: the need for procreation; hormones; ticking biological clocks; social pressure; greed for social status; the need for the intergenerational transfer of wealth, traditions and knowledge; gender activism, and by much more.  Life is short.  It was extremely short for Huxley.

Every morning Ruth checks the obituaries, to see whether some of the deceased mentioned in them are known to us. This morning she pointed out this one.

Obituary for Huxley, by his mothers

Excerpt from the obituary for Huxley

The obituary announces the short life of Huxley, a life that lasted not quite three days – from birth to departure – and touched the lives of his two mothers and of many other people. It is not of someone we know, but it makes me wonder.

The obituary mentions Huxley’s life experiences, that he sustained an acute and severe brain insult during his delivery, that he passed away in the NICU (Natal Intensive Care Unit) of the hospital in which he had been born. It gives thanks to “the staff at the Royal Alexandra Hospital NICU with a special thank you to” four doctors.

The obituary even provides a quote: “The meaning of life is to give life meaning”, by Benedict the Bunny (“cuddle + kind; Ethically produced, hand-knit dolls that help feed children,” at Benedict the bunny). It does not mention any of the circumstances of the conception of Huxley, whether it was by artificial insemination, IVF, embryo transfer or surrogate mother, or who the father was.

The meaning of the life addressed in the obituary seems to be to make any mention of Huxley’s father glare by its absence, whether the father was someone who was an anonymous sperm donor or a friend, why he wanted to play a role in causing the conception of Huxley, or whether he should at all have catered to the right of the conceived child to have a father in his life, not even why the father shouldn’t partake of his parenthood.  The father should consider himself lucky.  Lesbian couples have divorce rates that are considerably higher than those of heterosexual couples (their “committed” relationships last on average one year vs. the five years achieved on average by heterosexual couples), and it has often happened that the fathers of the children in divorced lesbian families were sued, successfully, to limit the parenthood of fathers to be nothing more than the paying a lifetime of child support, even when anonymity had been taken for granted at the time of conception.

Thanks should be given to the taxpayers and the contributors to the healthcare system who foot the enormous costs of bringing about the short life of Huxley and of the heoric efforts to extend his life, not least to the activists and advocates who made it possible to establish the right of “any” woman to conceive (even when she is 65 or older), and the opportunity for the medical industry to reap the income that it earned from the conception and short life of Huxley, derived from medical procedures that will have ranged upwards from more than a hundred thousand dollars.

Take just IVF in such a case. The cost of IVF alone is high, about $9,000 to $12,000 (not including all of the cost of the medication) per attempt. The success rate of IVF is low. It was about 1 in 20 tries in 1985. I had been improved by 1997 to about one in four tries, after which it had levelled off. That means that the cost of one successful conception that results in a viable embryo that is carried to birth is about $10,000 and may be as high as $40,000 and more, of which not all may be funded by taxpayers and Healthcare payers. More at: “Our Rainbow Family — Operation Baby-making

That is not the end of it. The costs can be far higher yet, and taxpayer-funded research to bring that about continues to expand. Consider that the lesbian couple in “Our Rainbow Family – Operation baby-making,” were “the first lesbian couple at the clinic at that time to request using eggs from one woman to use in the other,” and that now medical research is being done to bring about “IVF same-sex conception less eggs,” using only sperm and no eggs, which is sought to and could enable two or more male homosexuals to become the biological parents of a given child.

The limits of human procreation and parenthood are no longer constrained by the ethics of the manifestations of Nature or by what used to be human nature. The limits are set by human imagination and ingenuity, technological advance, driven by what some consider to be absurd human desires, while the limits set by ethical considerations are being obscured, constantly expanded, eradicated and surpassed, providing ever larger opportunities for profit by the medical industry.

Human procreation and parenthood have seen progress. They have come a long way since the stork, Baby.  They have miles to go and many more obstacles to overcome that have yet to be discovered, before they will have reached (or helped to bring about) the end of human existence.

Posted in Child Abuse, Civil Rights, Family, Gay issues, Health, Maternal Rights, Men's Issues, Paternal Rights, Propaganda Exposed | Comments Off on Parenthood needs a village before becoming inhuman